Casey closes to .2% with votes still coming in

[Tribetime]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results
I know it's been called but I'm curious to see how close the final numbers are

[onecaliberal]

1. Hasn't been called. It's in the margin for auto recount.

[kirby]

5. AP called it...

Just for the record. It hasn't been called 'officially', but neither have most other races until local boards of elections finish their work.

[onecaliberal]

6. Like I said, it hasn't been called.

[SoCalDavidS]

2. Casey Needs 70% Of Remaining 25K Votes To Catch Up

If the outstanding votes are from Philadelphia, it could be a literal dead heat at finish.

[Omnipresent]

3. I really hope he pulls ahead and wins.

It could be a tight, few hundred vote win, similar to Al Franken’s first term.

[MichMan]

4. If you look at county by county, nearly every one is around 95%

Some of those are smaller counties, but it doesn't look like all the outstanding votes are only from Philadelphia

[Polybius]

12. More, I did math with Casey winning 78% of the remaining votes, and it's still not enough

Let's say the remaining votes go 78% to Casey and 20% for McCormick. That's 19,500 for Casey, and 5,000 for McCormick. Let's add that to what we have so far:

Casey: 3,378,352 + 19,500 = 3,397,852

McCormick: 3,395,784 + 5,000 = 3,400,784

Hyper close, but still not enough.

[ColinC]

7. Last estimates of visa remaining was sind 25k

I dont know if there's enough to get this into a range where the recount makes any difference.

Casey still behind 17k

[SoCalDavidS]

8. I'll Never Buy Into The Bullshit

That we have a better ground game or GOTV effort than the other side. Even running a piece of garbage like T, they kicked our butt. Imagine what it would have been if they were running someone halfway decent or intelligent.

Casey is probably going to come up less than 5K votes short, is my guess. AP never should have called the race as early as they did, even if they ultimately turn out to be correct.

[Sugarcoated]

9. There's an article at Fox "News"

accusing Case, et al, of counting "disqualified ballots". Anyone have details? Is this just spin?

[Amishman]

10. It's somewhat legit

Several blue counties (Bucks was first) are counting misdated and undated mail in ballots.

The law and the state scotus is clear, these should not be counted. But the date requirement itself is idiotic as the postmark should be all that matters

[Sugarcoated]

11. I believe McCormick tried to have those same ballots counted

In his primary vs Oz

[Polybius]

13. Will they ultimately count in the end?

And what's so hard about getting instructions right anyway?

[Polybius]

14. PA Supreme Court again rules that Philly and other counties cannot count undated mail ballots

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court on Monday issued a ruling reiterating its previous stance that undated or misdated mail ballots should not be counted in the 2024 election, dealing a blow to Democratic U.S. Sen. Bob Casey’s hopes that a recount and litigation will help him overcome his more than 15,000-vote deficit to Republican Dave McCormick.

The 4-3 ruling, which was requested by the Republican Party and opposed by Casey’s campaign, followed moves by elections officials in Democratic-controlled counties — including Philadelphia, Bucks, and Montgomery — to have the ballots counted despite the high court instructing them to exclude those votes earlier in the year. The ruling applies to all counties.

Democrats in those counties and elsewhere have pushed to include mail ballots with defects related to the dates voters are required to write on them because the dates are not used by election administrators to determine whether ballots are legitimate. Instead, they only count ballots that are received between when the ballots are distributed and Election Day, making it impossible for a vote to be counted outside of that timeframe regardless of what date a voter writes on the ballot.

Republicans have argued that those votes must be excluded from the count because state law requires voters to date their mail ballots. McCormick’s campaign joined the GOP lawsuit after it was filed. While the ruling settles how these types of ballots are handled this year, the longer legal battle may not be over because the court has not yet weighed in on the underlying question of whether rejecting undated ballots on what Democrats describe as a technicality constitutes a violation of rights guaranteed to voters by the state constitution.

https://www.inquirer.com/politics/philadelphia/pennsylvania-supreme-court-undated-mail-ballots-senate-recount-20241118.html

[Tribetime]

15. I saw that earlier