General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAbout Those Bullet Ballots
Those of you comparing Democrats questioning the election to QAnon, I have a couple of questions for you.
Listening to Thom Hartmann, he had a guest on who was one of the computer experts who sent the letter to Kamala to audit the election.
This guy has built computer hardware.
Answer this question;
Nevada and Arizona had 5% and 7% of their total ballots, bullet ballots. Neighboring state Utah had way way less than 1%.
Occam's Razor - if something stinks there's good chance it's rotten.
A hand count audit is the only thing that will convince me that this election was not stolen.
Don't you dare compare me with QAnon. People don't take the time to vote and only vote for 1 Republican on the ballot, that would be stupid.
bearsfootball516
(6,509 posts)I know two people who literally did exactly that, I work with them. They both registered to vote for the first time this fall, voted for Trump and left the rest of the ballot blank.
It's hard to believe, but those people do exist.
NJCher
(37,837 posts)in one of the discussion threads, Emile asked the question: "How many bullet ballots were there for Harris?" We need the answer to that question.
gab13by13
(25,163 posts)thanks for catching that.
Native
(6,525 posts)I seem to recall some numbers. And the letter also highlighted the difference - like how in past elections bullet ballots accounted for roughly .05% compared to like a full 5 or 7% in this one. iow, the jump in this election was outrageous. in his interview today on Thom Hartmann, he talked more about the tabulators. worth a listen.
OMGWTF
(4,437 posts)gab13by13
(25,163 posts)bearsfootball516
(6,509 posts)What I'm saying is that if I personally know two people, I can only imagine how many others may have done that in a state where millions of votes were cast.
Loupe Garoue
(63 posts)I have been doing a lot of reading about this, and I recall that that is one of the reasons it is raising alarms.
RandomNumbers
(18,147 posts)How "convenient!" that this happened in the swing states!
It is possible that it is related to intensive campaigning in those states. But it is reasonable to select a few districts and do a hand recount there. If issues are found, then it would expand to more districts. If no issues are found in the first sample, then it is a lot harder to justify the expense of further recounts.
onenote
(44,582 posts)Ray Bruns
(4,583 posts)Yes they are.
yellowdogintexas
(22,701 posts)Basically, vorers skip the downballot entirely. Sometimes the only race they are interested in is their own representative.
I saw a LOT ov undervoting in my precinct stats.
(mostly Democrats skipping over all the unopposed judicial positions)
JMCKUSICK
(377 posts)soldierant
(7,882 posts)The question is, do they exist in swing states in so much greater numbers than they do in reliably red or reliably blue states? Because that's what happened.
If there were more numbers (and therefore also percentages) of bullet ballots in Arizona than there were in New York, why? If there were more sheer numbers of bullet ballots in Georgia than there were in Texas, why? That's the question.
Bullet ballots have been tracked long enough for those doing the tracking to state categorically that this has not happened before. The number amd percentage has been pretty stable both from election to election and from state to state. That is not true this time.
soandso
(1,099 posts)As proved in my post in this thread and the single thread I created with the same data.
Hope22
(2,821 posts)I dont want to argue with you. Im so tired of people who may or may not be experts telling everyone what to do! Really tired! And then the people who know and wont speak out of fear cower in the corner. Too much!
soandso
(1,099 posts)and the poster I responded to was not talking about software but so called "bullet ballots", an entirely different subject.
rainy
(6,203 posts)Sympthsical
(10,180 posts)You want us to answer your question, but you do not want to present us with evidence for the claims.
And "I heard it from a guy on Thom Hartmann" isn't evidence.
One thing this guy has been very shady about is providing data, methodologies, and evidence for assertions he is making. Even when directly asked by knowledgeable data scientists (his Reddit AMA) he bobbed and weaved his way through it. (And if you pay attention to his answers - really pay attention - you rapidly figure out he's cherry-picking as much as humanly possible to make his claims. For example, in his North Carolina claims, he admits he just ignored the governor's race, because he didn't think it should count. Don't all data scientists do that?).
You can't demand answers to a question when your own basis for that question isn't established as a fact. But you're acting as though it is. You've simply accepted the claim prima facie and then demand people refute that which is impossible, because no one can verify it.
Which is what . . . that word you dislike does.
The claim is one he's making (and you're repeating). Show your work.
Loupe Garoue
(63 posts)None of us have all the information, this is why a hand count would be necessary.
Wiz Imp
(1,754 posts)No data has been provided to the public to support these claims. If the numbers are real, show them!. Otherwise, it makes it appear that they are just making shit up.
NJCher
(37,837 posts)++Provide the clip that shows where he "bobbed and weaved."
--show examples of cherry picking so we can make up our own minds and not rely on you for a judgment.
These are subjective claims.
rubbersole
(8,481 posts)Why not? Lots of rw claims of fraud before the election (lookin' at you, Gym). magats will freak out, but they already seem angrier than before the election. Global stability is on the line.
Think. Again.
(17,824 posts)JoeBydun
(28 posts)If Kamala did in fact lose legitimately then it is what it is. But we demand a recount just to confirm this. Nothing wrong with asking for that.
bikes and bunnies
(80 posts)Then we'll have the evidence, one way or the other.
Why would anyone be opposed to that?
Come on, Madame Vice President.
You said you would fight for us.
Fiendish Thingy
(18,460 posts)Well said!
Cirsium
(777 posts)Is there an extraordinarily high percentage of ballots registering a vote for Trump and no votes for any other office in the swing states when compared to neighboring states? I don't know that to be true. But if that were true, it would warrant further investigation, would it not?
onenote
(44,582 posts)There is no evidence that there is an "extraordinarily high" percentage of ballots registering a vote for Trump and no votes in the swing states -- certainly nowhere near the number Spoonamore claims.
He claims 350,000 such votes in North Carolina alone. But the total number of votes for president only exceeds the total number of votes for governor by around 100,000 at last count -- somewhat higher than is typical, but a not surprising outcome given the total collapse of Mark Robinson's campaign for governor.
In Arizona the difference between the total votes in the presidential race and the total votes in the US Senate race was around 1.2% -- basically the same as in 2020.
And in Nevada, a swing state won by Trump also was around 1.2 percent -- actually slightly less that the percentage in Virginia - 1.34% -- a non-swing state won by Harris.
These numbers are easily checked by going to the official election sites for these states -- adding up the total votes cast for president and a statewide race such as governor or US Senate, subtracting the latter from the former and calculating the percentage of the difference.
Mr. Spoonamore apparently hasn't bothered to do any of those things and is pulling numbers of alleged 'bullet ballots' and percentages out of thin air.
What the hell is all of the chatter about?
Zeitghost
(4,539 posts)n/t
TheKentuckian
(26,134 posts)As demonstrated by chucking Elias who has done the hardwork for a long time, under the first bus that passed along with at least inferring Biden, Harris, Shapiro, Evers, and Witmer are either in on some shenanigans to hand the nation over to ChumpCo or at minimum are too out of it and disinterested to do anything.
Many apparently grabbed transcripts of Chump's lies and decided that he wss was right the whole way and copied that shit nearly verbatim, "Deep State" and all.
Cirsium
(777 posts)It is a great tragedy. Many warnings were ignored, for years. Critical voices were marginalized and ridiculed. Compromise after compromise after compromise.
nbsmom
(645 posts)The discussion on Thom Hartmann today unleashed a load of Deja vu for me.
In 2002, Spoonamore was one of the people who investigated the malfeasance that flipped the results of the Max Cleland/Saxby Chambliss election (Max Cleland was initially reluctant to accept his help, but later admitted that Spoonamore had been right all along.)
In 2004, he was part of the team that investigated the man in the middle exploit that resulted in Kerrys loss in Ohio.
In other words, this guy knows when people are doing funky things with peoples votes. If what hes saying isnt true and that hes pulling numbers out of thin air, then why did Musk flag Spoonamores account on Twitter/X after his AMA on Reddit?
Spoonamore himself is saying his suspicions were raised because Musk held a lottery to grab addresses from would-be voters. Then on Election Day, the bomb threats at primarily Dem precincts in PA. Ultimately, hes really only saying hes seeing flags, and that the only way to know for sure is to do hand counts in the two precincts with outlier results. If those track with the tabulated totals, then hes wrong.
But the thing is, Spoonamore is not the only one. Theres a different group of election and cybersecurity officials (part of the Free Speech for People group) who have also shared a letter with VP Harris. And I have also seen some analysis done of both the Arizona and North Carolina races by different data professionals. All of them are saying, the math aint mathing.
I dont pretend to know your background or impugn your expertise. It looks like youve been a part of the DU community for a long time. But as others have pointed out on this thread, there is a lot at stake, and its important that we do everything we can to fight to save our democracy. After all, as Madam Vice President likes to say, When we fight, we win.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)Post #85 lays out the numbers
Cirsium
(777 posts)...
Wiz Imp
(1,754 posts)Yes if true, it warrants further investigation so prove to us it's true and we'll investigate. Why are they not providing any data to prove it's true?
Agreed.
keepthemhonestO
(379 posts)With NC is that governor was not popular and was getting ousted.
There are many irregularities in those battleground states only, please keep and open mind.i am sorry, I'm not able to list them all here but you don't have to be a mathematical genius to see it. I was terrible in statistics but the probability of winning all those battleground states is extremely low.
Shortly MIT and other people will be writing up reports about this but it will be too late.
Listen, even if she wanted a recount, got it in a few places and it changed the outcome... They'll still install him. I just want proof of what I already know, he stole it.
Highest office in the land, the most powerful position in the world, yeah he pussy grabbed America.
yellowdogintexas
(22,701 posts)From what I can tell, he was well liked
keepthemhonestO
(379 posts)Mark Robinson, the KKK wannabe.
unc70
(6,325 posts)Governor Cooper was term limited.
The unpopular candidate for governor was Mark Robinson, the R candidate who was/is the black Nazi. That race is not representative.
onenote
(44,582 posts)Did you miss the revelations about Mark Robinson? Its no wonder that more than the typical number of voters opted not to vote in the governor's race. But even in North Carolina, the numbers don't come close to what Spoonamore has, without any substantiation, claimed.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)But the actual numbers show otherwise.
The battleground polls leading up to the election showed races within the margin of error for every battleground state...I always assumed that one candidate would win all of them, I just had no idea which one it would be.
keepthemhonestO
(379 posts)Must have watched the same news I did , where they said trump would be flooding the polling with their own polls. This was intended to make the race look close.
questionseverything
(10,116 posts)It implies citizens should blindly trust the government and thats not how democracies work
Sympthsical
(10,180 posts)But he's being awfully spiky about it and highly selective about what little he is willing to share. He's heavy on claims, shallow on producing hard data that can be examined with methodologies replicated. You know, what science and math do.
He's been asked, directly, multiple times to share where he's pulling information. He hasn't. He talks around it and implies things without saying anything concrete that can be grasped.
Does that strike you as someone operating in wholly good faith? If this is all true, and he already did all the calculations, just drop the data. He should have it all organized already. Just hit "post" on substack and let people go through it.
The fact he blatantly avoids doing this when asked should raise all the flags.
It's credulity sprung from wish-making.
questionseverything
(10,116 posts)And those guys have tons of data to see
Brad blog has the details if youre curious but
I dont feel like that negates my original point that we the people should get to oversee every bit of our elections
Wiz Imp
(1,754 posts)SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)to show that his numbers are BS, so why can't he show his to show that his numbers are valid?
A couple of other "posters on the web" have done the same thing in this thread. It's not rocket science.
Zeitghost
(4,539 posts)Posted their numbers, we can check the math and it doesn't back up the claims.
questionseverything
(10,116 posts)They were counted with a software program that no citizen gets to oversee
Zeitghost
(4,539 posts)We elect to oversea them and who follow rigorous security and accuracy standards.
The bullet ballot claims do no match the published vote counts.
questionseverything
(10,116 posts)Past that, you are the second poster that has explained to me how citizens should simply trust our government and election officials to let us know what the results are.
I dont agree with that I believe if regular citizens cant oversee the count we dont have a legitimate democracy
Wasnt it stalin who said, who votes doesnt matter only who counts the votes?
Walleye
(35,540 posts)They thought that just being suspicious was enough to overturn the election, so they stormed the capitol. I dont think were thinking about that. Just proves that we are the patriotic Americans in this situation
questionseverything
(10,116 posts)Btw thousands of votes were found that didnt get recorded first time around
.it didnt change bidens win though
I do think election officials were embarrassed that votes were found and realized why other states dont want looked at too closely
hadEnuf
(2,689 posts)Not to mention that they tried a coup d'etat over it resulting in casualties.
But now we should keep our mouths shut while they don't utter a peep because their Fuhrer won, which is looking more and more suspicious every day due to these irregularities now being discovered?
We either want our democracy or not.
proud patriot
(101,130 posts)Just like you I'm not a conspiarcy nut ..
Bluethroughu
(5,748 posts)There are questionable forces fixing to break our country into pieces so the vultures can pick off the carcus.
Why is Elon not being brought in by the justice dept. He is clearly overstepping his boundaries of the Logan Act? He committed election crimes and interference and he's overstayed his visa.
malaise
(278,022 posts)Rec
Tweedy
(1,133 posts)Yes. People do vote for only one person on the ballot. Sometimes people vote for only one thing on the ballot.
Sadly, most of Mr. Trumps voters were badly misinformed in our last election. We absolutely need to win the information wars.
Hope22
(2,821 posts)Look the bullets in the eye! Yes it will cost money. So will cleaning up the disaster we are about to experience. Retirement funds alone lost as the market crashes for no good reason. The outcome will be the outcome but we will never know unless we count the ballots.
MichMan
(13,135 posts)After the first $41,300 goes to the DNC, they will apply the next $3,300 towards any recount. Once they get enough people to contribute, they can start the recount effort.
Direct from the Harris campaign website.
The fundraising page says that the first $41,300/$15,000 from a person/multicandidate committee (PAC) will be allocated to the DNC. The next $3,300/$5,000 from a person/PAC will be allocated to Harris for President's Recount Account."
https://kamalaharris.com/
keepthemhonestO
(379 posts)Already raised over a billion dollars before the election and said they would use a portion of that. They need to use it, they should not need more.
Count the ballots!!
tritsofme
(18,447 posts)keepthemhonestO
(379 posts)Were counted by a machine which no one is privy to the algorithm used except the owners of said company. They were counted in the dark, in other words.
tritsofme
(18,447 posts)Hope22
(2,821 posts)Where are the results. We have gone into December some elections while the ballots continued to be counted. A recount of the battleground states has not been done! Please post the results here!
tritsofme
(18,447 posts)Or based on baseless conspiracy theories.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)The billion is gone, and the party is still in debt from this election.
Hope22
(2,821 posts)more. I did donate every month to multiple Dems. If she needs money to do this she will be the first to ask. This election was a record for funds poured down the drain if they do not do their best to certify the results. . And I would like to say that your comment is garbage. Really what in the actual! Im old enough to have watched several would be Presidents ask for money but were non existent on the recount commitment. We need a leader and Harris said she would be that. Come out and say what the issues are. Not throwing any more money until we know there is a plan!
Tweedy
(1,133 posts)We know this.
onenote
(44,582 posts)I have not seen any of the official election sites reporting such information.
Arizona is reporting 3,378,651 ballots in the presidential race and 3,337,566 in the senate race, a difference of 41,085 or 1.2% -- where does 7% come from? And even then, there is no way of knowing whether there were ballots cast in the presidential race, but not the Senate race, but in any of the House races. And, the difference in the number of ballots counted in the presidential and senate races in Arizona in 2024 is almost identical to the difference in the number of ballots counted in the presidential and senate races in 2020 -- 1.216% in 2024 and 1.239% in 2020.
Similarly, Nevada is reporting 1,484,840 ballots in the presidential race and 1,464,728 in the senate race, a difference of 20,112 or 1.35% -- not 5%.
I'm not going to compare you with Q'Anon. But you are blindly accepting and repeating allegations of "bullet ballots" for which there is no factual evidence -- indeed, the facts available resoundingly rebut those allegations.
This has been pointed out several time here. I've said that if someone can provide an explanation as to how anyone came up with these alleged bullet ballot counts and how they can be squared with the actual voting data available, I'm open to hearing it. The ball is in your court.
Fiendish Thingy
(18,460 posts)And expectations of verifiable evidence.
onenote
(44,582 posts)I refused to blindly accept those claims and I won't blindly accept these.
I've repeatedly said i'm open to someone answering the following questions:
How did Spoonamore come up with his number of "bullet ballots"?
How does he explain how his numbers can be squared with the reported difference in the number of total presidential race ballots and the total number of non-presidential race ballots for statewide offices like senate or governor?
No one has even tried to answer those questions. They argue that just making the claim, even though the data doesn't support it, is enough and that the way to get an answer is to hand count every ballot and separate out those that only show a vote for a single contest. Something Spoonamore obviously hasn't done.
Fiendish Thingy
(18,460 posts)Somehow, maybe with Musks help, MTG figured out how to reverse the Jewish Space Lasers so that they flipped Harris votes to Trump.
Prove me wrong.
Frank D. Lincoln
(604 posts)Bear in mind that I'm not arguing against what you've been stating.
But regarding Stephen Spoonamore (a staunch Republican), I don't know what his motive would be in just making this up out of whole cloth if he knew he could easily be proven wrong. Why bother? What does he get out of it by doing that? Plus, he's stated that he's open to being proven wrong by a recount. But he seems to genuinely believe that he'll be proven right that this election was stolen from Harris.
And regarding Spoonamore's letter to Kamala Harris, he wrote this:
So, although Duncan Buell and the other six people involved with the November 13 letter don't think there were shenanigans that changed the outcome of the election, they did cite their reasons that Kamala Harris should request a hand-recount in the states they mentioned. Spoonamore believes that there were shenanigans that did affect the outcome of the election. Where Spoonamore and the others agree is that Harris should request hand-recounts.
Given that our democracy hangs in the balance, arguing back and forth about the credibility of Spoonamore's claim is just a distraction from the more important point: Kamala Harris should request hand-recounts in the battleground states.
There is at least a chance no matter how small that it might keep Trump from regaining power.
Without a hand-recount, Trump will regain the White House for sure and the results will be almost unthinkable in terms of the horror and misery it will inflict on untold millions of people.
Igel
(36,075 posts)Why?
Because it must. For the claim to be true.
And the claim must be true. There. QED.
Loupe Garoue
(63 posts)Just a much higher percentage in the swing states.,
https://open.substack.com/pub/spoonamore/p/duty-to-warn-letter-to-vp-harris?selection=0ba74aad-ddcf-4c27-8825-0fe28680c0ee&r=d569l&utm_medium=ios
MineralMan
(147,547 posts)You post numbers, but not the sources for those numbers. Can you tell us where the numbers came from. I've seen different numbers, directly from the state's election offices. Are those numbers wrong?
Nobody's calling you Qanon or anything else. But we have questions that remain unanswered.
onenote
(44,582 posts)You'll have to do some math: adding up the total votes cast in the presidential and senate races. Subtracting the latter from the former. And dividing the difference by the number of votes cast in the presidential race.
Here are the links:
Arizona 2024 presidential and Senate: https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/47/0
Arizona 2020 presidential and Senate: https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/18/0
In each instance, you'll have click on the "view more" line for each race and then get out your calculator and add up the votes.
Nevada 2024 presidential race: https://silverstateelection.nv.gov/USPresidential/index.shtml
Nevada 2024 senate race: https://silverstateelection.nv.gov/USSenate/#race2
And here's Virginia, in case you want to see a state that Harris won.
https://enr.elections.virginia.gov/results/public/Virginia/elections/2024NovemberGeneral
MineralMan
(147,547 posts)The numbers weren't even close to what was claimed, as you pointed out. I want to hear from the OP.
I'm asking him.
onenote
(44,582 posts)Or from Sponamore himself. But I'm not holding my breath.
Sympthsical
(10,180 posts)There were 2.2% more votes cast for President than Senate candidates.
Checked the numbers several times.
Without know what data this guy is using, how can his claims be verified? Where are his numbers coming from?
The final Arizona tally is not yet certified and published, but you'd need an awful lot of new bullet ballots lurking around somewhere that only this guy apparently knows about.
Edit: I can't read numbers gud. I actually got 1.2% in my calculations from publicly available data.
onenote
(44,582 posts)Arizona 2024: Total presidential race votes minus total senate race votes: 3,378,651 minus 3,337,566 = 41,085. Percentage of total presidential votes exceeding total senate votes: 41,085 divided by 3,378,651 = .01216
Arizona 2024: Total presidential race votes minus total senate race votes: 3,397,388 minus 3,355,297 = 42,091. Percentage of total presidential votes exceeding total senate votes: 42,091 divided by 3,397,388 = .01238
Are you using the total number of votes cast in the presidential race or just the number cast for Trump and Harris and excluding 3rd parties? Using the latter would push the percentage up over 2% but wouldn't accurately portray the number of ballots with only the presidential race selected.
Sympthsical
(10,180 posts)I read 0.987839 as 2.2% difference for some reason when it should be 1.2% (rounded).
I'd just like to point out - because it made me laugh - that you and I just did more to share data sources and methodologies to verify numbers in this exchange of posts than this guy has done so far in all his media appearances.
onenote
(44,582 posts)The data is there for anyone to check.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)I calculated for four different states - Arizona, Nevada, Utah (red state), and Virginia, (blue state).
As expected, none of this 5% & 7% BS pans out when looking at the actual numbers.
Sympthsical
(10,180 posts)And without knowing where he's pulled his numbers from, no one else can either.
So I guess we're going on faith. Which I'm told is typically how one does math.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)Because it's bullshit.
Wiz Imp
(1,754 posts)SCantiGOP
(14,231 posts)And the rest of the post doesnt get any more convincing.
Straw Man
(6,768 posts)Yes, it would. And it is. We're talking about low-information MAGAs here. Don't overestimate them.
MineralMan
(147,547 posts)Maybe just one race or a couple. Often, they don't look any further than the races that get lots of publicity, and just skip the rest.
It's difficult, for example, to get good information on a long list of candidates for a local school board. Often there's no advertising at all for those races. So, many people don't vote for anyone on the list.
Same thing applies to things like district judges. This year, all of the judges in my large urban county had to run for re-election. Most were unopposed. Most voters just skip over all of those votes. So, the count of total votes differs from race to race. Every time.
Some vote just for President. Some also vote for a Senator and maybe even a House member. Fewer vote for state legislative candidates. Fewer still for local races, like city council, etc. the number of votes goes down the farther down the ballot you look.
This year the only race that mattered to a heckuva lot of new voters was the Presidency. A good number of people only voted in that race. 1% or 2% wouldn't surprise me at all. Or even more in some cases.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)any citations for the 5% & 7% bullet ballot claim?
I've looked online for anything from the states that mention this, and have thus far found nothing. I'd be interested in seeing an actual state entity making this claim or providing this information.
MineralMan
(147,547 posts)we'd have seen them. Every time this comes up, people ask where the numbers came from. Crickets is all they get as answers.
I suspect they're either made up numbers or some misinterpretation of some numbers. But, we don't know, because nobody will reveal their sources or cite their sources so we can all go check them.
I always wonder about numbers without citations. I don't pay attention to them until they're verified.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)I figured it would be pretty easy to calculate the numbers based on the state election sites... As expected, numbers cited on the podcast and then re-posted here are nowhere close to true.
If any of the assumptions I make below are incorrect, or if my math is off, I welcome any and all corrections.
We've been told that the definition of a bullet ballot in this context is one in which there is only a Presidential vote, and no votes for any other race on the ballot.
From the Nevada election site https://silverstateelection.nv.gov/
Votes for President:
Trump 751,205
Harris 705,197
Other 28,438
Total: 1,484,840
So, for Nevada to have 5% of their ballots be bullet ballots in Trump's favor, that means that 37,560 ballots would have had to have a Trump vote only, with no other votes on them.
The Senate race for Nevada recorded a total of 1,464,728 votes, a difference of 20,112 votes. That means that if on those ballots, no other races/questions were voted, the overall "bullet ballot" rate would be 1.35%. If one assumes that every one of those "bullet ballots" was a Trump vote, the rate would increase to 2.68%.
Neither number is near 5%.
OK, but what about Arizona?
From the Arizona election site https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/47/0
Votes for President:
Trump 1,764,862
Harris 1,577,729
Other 36,060
Total: 3,378,651
So, for Arizona to have 7% of their ballots be bullet ballots in Trump's favor, that means that 123,540 ballots would have had to have a Trump vote only, with no other votes on them.
The Senate race for Arizona recorded a total of 3,337,566 votes, a difference of 41,085 votes. That means that if on those ballots, no other races/questions were voted, the overall "bullet ballot" rate would be 1.22%. If one assumes that every one of those "bullet ballots" was a Trump vote, the rate would increase to 2.33%.
Neither number is near 7%.
OK, but what about Utah? I mean their "bullet ballot" total was way less!
Was it?
From the Utah election site https://app.enhancedvoting.com/results/public/utah/elections/general11052024
Votes for President:
Trump 874,138
Harris 587,646
Other 41,773
Total: 1,473,557
The Senate race for Utah recorded a total of 1,449,577 votes , a difference of 23,980 votes. That means that if on those ballots, no other races/questions were voted, the overall "bullet ballot" rate would be 1.63%. If one assumes that every one of those "bullet ballots" was a Trump vote, the rate would increase to 2.74%.
OK, but Utah is a red state, so they had no need to try to cheat on the vote. I bet there are "bullet ballots" in blue states they wanted to win, like Virginia.
Let's see
From the Virginia election site https://enr.elections.virginia.gov/results/public/Virginia/elections/2024NovemberGeneral
Votes for President:
Trump 2,074,872
Harris 2,334,800
Other 95,424
Total: 4,505,096
The Senate race for Virginia recorded a total of 4,444,713 votes, a difference of 95,424 votes. That means that if on those ballots, no other races/questions were voted, the overall "bullet ballot" rate would be 1.34%. If one assumes that every one of those "bullet ballots" was a Trump vote, the rate would increase to 2.91%
All of this is to say that unless the podcasters are actually providing citations for their numbers, that can be viewed by anyone, they're simply pedaling bullshit to desperate people. In other words, intentional misinformation
Kid Berwyn
(17,942 posts)It feels weird, all right. Shocking to read so many on DU post, We lost! Move on! Get over it! Nothing was funny about the election.
Its as if they dont remember Russia helped Trump in 2016 and 2020, let alone all the other treasonous crap Trump has done since, such as ordering a mob to attack Congress and threatening to kill his critics, now assisted by the worlds richest person, coincidentally also a friend and supplier of Putins.
No matter the results, rationale or data: Fucking feels like a coup, to me.
HereForTheParty
(94 posts)And the point remains, there is absolutely no evidence for this bullet ballot nonsense. Hearkening back to 2020 doesn't change that.
Kid Berwyn
(17,942 posts)1968 - Nixon-Agnew dealt with North Vietnam to sabotage Paris peace talks
1980 - Reagan-Bush dealt with Ayatollah hostage takers
1988 - Bush pardons Weinberger and other Iran-Contra traitors to avoid trial and exposing his own role
2000 - Bush-Cheney count on GOP-leaning Supreme Court to win Florida and, thus, US election
2016 - Trump calls on Russia for help to defeat Hillary Clinton
The record is clear: In Presidential election after Presidential election, Republicans get away with treason. And thanks to the SCrOTUS they packed, its all been turned legal-like.
And after they win, We the People are told to, Move on. And the GOP gets away with it, again.
KS Toronado
(19,558 posts)and are busy investigating how, when & where to take action. Plus I'm not worried they haven't made
a public statement yet, sometimes timing is everything and I'm sure they have their reasons..
Fiendish Thingy
(18,460 posts)From Wikipedia:
This philosophical razor advocates that when presented with competing hypotheses about the same prediction and both hypotheses have equal explanatory power, one should prefer the hypothesis that requires the fewest assumptions,[4] and that this is not meant to be a way of choosing between hypotheses that make different predictions. Similarly, in science, Occam's razor is used as an abductive heuristic in the development of theoretical models rather than as a rigorous arbiter between candidate models.[5][6]
When you proclaim something stinks, theres a good chance its rotten, you are making numerous unspoken assumptions.
When I drive to the ferry terminal, I always smell something rotten and moldy, however, there isnt anything rotten, its just the smell of the cedar lumber mill.
bluestarone
(18,196 posts)On the numbers. Hell i know for a fact that everyone here would be asking for a recount IF numbers are proven. We have some very smart people on this site. Why would you not believe them if the numbers that your source uses cannot be proven. Marc Ellis is no dummy so man please find the PROOF and come back with it.
Speaks2
(83 posts)2020 deniers take election theft as a matter of faith. They provided no evidence and offered no opportunity to refute their position. Basically, they said "these things are possible" and "everyone knows Dems cheated." QED
In 2024, we're not doing that. We're being offered a means of testing the hypothesis that theft occurred and a way to refute the mechanism being conjectured.
That's a completely different thing!
HereForTheParty
(94 posts)Nm
keepthemhonestO
(379 posts)Thank you for keeping this topic front and center.
I think the people on our side naysaying this, are very naive. It's trump, it's the highest office in the land I am no statistician or mathematical genius but you don't have to in order to see all of these irregularities. Slap!!
For the last four years, I would cringe when I heard the Democrats saying we have secure elections blah blah blah. Democrats need to wake the fuck up and stop taking this lying down.
These ballots are being counted in secret( in a box) that we don't know how they are counted, also we are one of the few " Democracies " ( if we can use that anymore) to not hand count. Sorry it takes to fucking long to hand count in order to preserve our Democracy. Ahh well it's too late.
Doodley
(10,347 posts)keepthemhonestO
(379 posts)That welcome to little ole me? I've been here 24 years or so, mostly just ghost read. Used to be keepthemhonest but got locked out
Thanks btw. ☺️
EdmondDantes_
(46 posts)Also the guy has never said where he got the number of bullet ballots. His numbers in North Carolina don't make sense for example. He claims 350,000 of them, but the difference between the presidential race and the governor's race was fewer than 90,000 votes.
Viz
(59 posts)There have been 2 raids since the election. One was executed by an agency of DOD, DO, CIA and IRS called Defense Criminal Investigative Service (DCIS) on a prominent Trump supporter whose business and home were raided. DCIS focuses on Defense related and cyber security, and terrorism funding. The second raid was for the Polymarket founder, who ran the organization that was betting on the election. We heard about them during the last days of the campaign as their bets were being covered along with the latest poll results.
I suspect that both VP Harris and President Biden are working a sting operation as they investigate the fraudsters.
Let's see what happens with the hand recounts required by PA law for the Senate race. The recount must start by Nov 20 and end by Nov 26.
MichMan
(13,135 posts)The U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania between Democratic incumbent Sen. Bob Casey and Republican David McCormick is headed for a statewide recount, as counties continued Wednesday to sort through outstanding ballots and the campaigns jousted over which ones should count.
A noon deadline passed Wednesday for Casey to waive his right to a statewide recount and Secretary of State Al Schmidt, a Republican, announced that preliminary results had triggered a legally required statewide recount.
Counties must begin the recount no later than Nov. 20 and must finish by noon on Nov. 26. It largely involves running paper ballots through high-speed scanners, a process that former election officials say might not change the outcome by more than a few hundred votes.
https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/decision-2024/pa-senate-contest-recount/4027882/
Viz
(59 posts)There have been 2 raids since the election. One was executed by an agency of DOD, DOJ, CIA and IRS called Defense Criminal Investigative Service (DCIS) on a prominent Trump supporter whose business and home were raided. DCIS focuses on Defense related and cyber security, and terrorism funding. The second raid was for the Polymarket founder, who ran the organization that was betting on the election. We heard about them during the last days of the campaign as their bets were being covered along with the latest poll results.
I suspect that both VP Harris and President Biden are working a sting operation as they investigate the fraudsters.
Let's see what happens with the hand recounts required by PA law for the Senate race. The recount must start by Nov 20 and end by Nov 26.
HereForTheParty
(94 posts)Do you have links or names? I mean, your first one is just identified as a "Trump supporter".
Think. Again.
(17,824 posts)Orange Buffoon
(207 posts)in a conservative area. She was astounded to see voter after voter come in, mark their ballot for Trump only, then leave without filling out the rest of it.
oldmanlynn
(371 posts)I dont think that that would be allowed for a pole watcher to sit there and look over voters shoulder
yellowdogintexas
(22,701 posts)As an Election Judge, I can throw them out if they do. They know this when they come in; we have a required class for poll watchers, and they have to present their certifications to the Judge. They can ask us questions about our process but they can't talk to voters or get near enough to see anything
Orange Buffoon
(207 posts)oldmanlynn
(371 posts)Not catching it on this election is going to make it a higher probability of this happening again in the future and so if we dont ask for a recount now and catch it then its gonna happen again in 2028
brush
(57,459 posts)Last edited Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:27 PM - Edit history (1)
Again, investigate how 'bullet ballots' and their one vote got included in the tabulations.
The fact that only one ballot slot, the presidency for trump, was the only one filled out should raise the eye brows of everyone...especially Harris voters.
What's an investigation going to hurt?
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)It happened in states that weren't battlegrounds, and I'm betting it's happened in previous elections as well.
brush
(57,459 posts)That's why they're called the battleground states. They are where who gets the WH is decided as blue states and red states are mostly always secuely in the Democratic Party and rethug party columns.
Understand now?
wryter2000
(47,418 posts)However, I have no trouble believing that lots of brain dead MAGAts only bothered to vote for Trump. They would be more eager to do it in swing states. They might get their friends to do the same.
MichMan
(13,135 posts)Recounts are expensive and hand recounts especially so. The states aren't going to foot the bill, so it would be up to the Harris campaign and the DNC. Both have just announced staff layoffs and terminations in a cost cutting move.
If they don't believe that it will change anything, they see no need to throw more money down a black hole.
Dr. Strange
(25,999 posts)So you start recounting, and then you come up on one of these bullet ballots: someone voted for Trump and no one/nothing else. Are you going to refuse to count that vote because you don't like what the voter did? Are you going to challenge the ballot, and if so, on what basis?
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)A hand recount would do nothing that I can see.
And if the idea is that a hand recount would find that there are many fewer votes actually cast than were included in the count, then the assumption would have to be that every precinct and central election office was in on it, because physical ballots have to be accounted for, and the number of ballots used and the counts submitted have to match.
FakeNoose
(35,632 posts)It would be very expensive and time-consuming to do hand counts in the several states where we have questions. What would we learn? Some voters came to vote only for Chump and nobody else. We have no way to know what party or even if they're in a party. Probably many aren't, and I'm guessing that they are not frequent voters.
It doesn't give enough reason to overturn the election, based on bullet balloting alone.
polichick
(37,605 posts)ananda
(30,804 posts)Let's prove it one way or another.
Oliver Bolliver Butt
(107 posts)"People don't take the time to vote and only vote for 1 Republican on the ballot, that would be stupid."
What is the single most likely characteristic of Trump's base voter?
soandso
(1,099 posts)I took some random states, some swing states and some not, and compared the difference between the number of votes for president to the number of votes in their senate races. I used Decision Desk for the latest totals.
California
Presidential Votes: 15,104,778
Senate Votes: 14,638,283
Percentage Difference: ((15,104,778 - 14,638,283) / 15,104,778) * 100 ≈ 3.09%
Arizona
Presidential Votes: 3,378,651
Senate Votes: 3,337,566
Percentage Difference: ((3,378,651 - 3,337,566) / 3,378,651) * 100 ≈ 1.22%
New Mexico
Presidential Votes: 923,319
Senate Votes: 903,201
Percentage Difference: ((923,319 - 903,201) / 923,319) * 100 ≈ 2.18%
Minnesota
Presidential Votes: 3,242,938
Senate Votes: 3,186,151
Percentage Difference: ((3,242,938 - 3,186,151) / 3,242,938) * 100 ≈ 1.75%
Wisconsin
Presidential Votes: 3,415,154
Senate Votes: 3,387,420
Percentage Difference: ((3,415,154 - 3,387,420) / 3,415,154) * 100 ≈ 0.81%
Washington
Presidential Votes: 3,845,914
Senate Votes: 3,752,419
Percentage Difference: ((3,845,914 - 3,752,419) / 3,845,914) * 100 ≈ 2.43%
Texas
Presidential Votes: 11,559,607
Senate Votes: 11,269,112
Percentage Difference: ((11,559,607 - 11,269,112) / 11,559,607) * 100 ≈ 2.51%
Pennsylvania
Presidential Votes: 7,025,367
Senate Votes: 6,953,319
Percentage Difference: ((7,025,367 - 6,953,319) / 7,025,367) * 100 ≈ 1.03%
Virginia
Presidential Votes: 4,482,075
Senate Votes: 4,436,419
Percentage Difference: ((4,482,075 - 4,436,419) / 4,482,075) * 100 ≈ 1.02%
Ohio
Presidential Votes: 5,647,668
Senate Votes: 5,585,865
Percentage Difference: ((5,647,668 - 5,585,865) / 5,647,668) * 100 ≈ 1.09%
As you can see, the swing states did NOT have a greater %age difference in top of the ticket and down ballot. In fact, it's California (blue state) that has the greatest discrepancy and Wisconsin (swing state) the lowest.
https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/
https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-Senate/
MadameButterfly
(1,688 posts)though he comes to the same conclusion you do.
Another post claims number of bullets ballots were not high in NC, but that is one of the swings states that are high in the Daily Kos article. Along with Nevada.
I don't know why everyone's numbers are different.
soandso
(1,099 posts)or AP, which are usually identical and constantly updated in real time.
Mr.Bee
(343 posts)At almost TWO weeks after the election California still hasn't finished counting the votes, 93%, but Kamala is still way ahead, 58.8% to rotted pumpkin 38.1%.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)that a state as advanced as California takes two weeks to count ballots.
soandso
(1,099 posts)and was punished with my post hidden so beware.
Sympthsical
(10,180 posts)16 million people voting, most of them by mail. First you have to wait for them to all come in. A ballot can arrive up to 7 days after election day and be counted. Then they have to be sorted through. And there can be so many errors that involve curing. Like no signatures, using the wrong envelopes, etc. etc.
You want people to be more participant in elections, but it's created this massive headache when it comes to counting, because tabulation, verifying, ruling out duplicates, etc. is an extremely thorough and tedious process they go through. And statute gives the state a long time to do this. I think the curing deadline is like Dec. 1st and other stuff is 30 days after election.
So they're not exactly being prodded to get it done quickly.
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,323 posts)I know in Virginia, and in Florida as well, mail-in ballots are processed as they come in, beginning in September here in Virginia...as the mail-in ballots are validated, they are put through the tabulators, but they can't actually access the vote counts until election day. Our ballots have to arrive by noon on the Friday after election, with a postmark NLT election day.
Mail-in ballots can also be dropped off at any precinct on election day. Once the polls close, the very first thing that is done is two poll workers, one from each party, opens the drop-box, count the number of envelopes in the drop box, provide that number to the precinct chief, put the envelopes in a sealed envelope that they and the precinct chief initial, then drive together to drop those ballots at the county election office. Those ballots are then processed while they wait for the individual precincts to shut down and start submitting their numbers.
LilElf70
(430 posts)He made a name for himself. I see him living up to that name.
ConcernedCitizen1776
(4 posts)Steven Spoonamore on The Thom Hartmann Program Live (11/18/2024) - 02:16:30 - 02:28:45 -
https://www.youtube.com/@thomhartmann/videos
https://www.thomhartmann.com/
Stephen Spoonamore - Duty to Warn Letter - to VP Harris - Re: Election 2024 - Nov 15, 2024 - https://substack.com/home/post/p-151721941
ultralite001
(1,131 posts)Last edited Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:14 PM - Edit history (1)
2024 United States elections
[link:https://www.youtube.com/live/5s4iCxtf_Js
The Spoonamore interview is in the third hour at the 2:16:23 mark on the video.
Fascinating stuff...
muriel_volestrangler
(102,455 posts)So that's not a huge difference.
Sources:
https://www.nvsos.gov/silverstate2020gen/USPresidential/
https://silverstateelection.nv.gov/USPresidential/
2020 House Rep races:
223213 137868 74490 6190 4665
382673 216078 155780 10815
417252 203421 190975 12315 10541
332469 168457 152284 7978 3750
1355607
2020 Pres votes:
1405376 703486 669890 14783 14079 3138
2024 House Rep races:
322899 167885 143650 3321 2736 2711 2596
399584 219919 144064 19784 15817
372388 191304 181084
332206 174926 148061 4919 4300
1427077
2024 Pres votes:
1484840 751205 705197 19625 6059 2754
1355607/1405376 = 96.5%; 1427077/1484840 = 96.1%
So why is a rate of 3.9% voting for president but not a rep suspicious to you in 2024, but 3.5% in 2020 wasn't? Is that really a big enough difference to "stink"?
krkaufman
(13,727 posts)... given that is a prime characteristic of the likely Trump voter.
https://www.mediapost.com/publications/article/400572/its-the-stupid-stupid.html (ref'd IPSOS poll)
SheltieLover
(59,586 posts)Progressive dog
(7,228 posts)different field than statistics pertaining to elections, isn't it? He needs to provide real data, not just claims.
Do the states report how many bullet ballots? I don't think so.
Nimble_Idea
(2,417 posts)hurple
(1,323 posts)I can say there ARE lots of MAGAt voters who vote ONLY for trump and walk. These are typically the HARD CORE cultists and they are there for one reason and one reason only, to put god-emperor Trump on the throme where he belongs, "seig hiel."
They usually don't know anything about any other race and ignore them completely. Even local.
They are morons and absolutely look the part.
JR11
(25 posts)It should be of grave concern as to just how secure/monitored all state ballots are, and have been these last few weeks. What's even more vital is there should be eagle-eyed scrutiny involving all individuals responsible for the handling and safekeeping of every ballot.
It should be vitally important to everyone as to just how resigned most have been in regard to those final results. Has it not been utter chaos following Trump's every move now for the last 10 years?
I was shouting from the rooftops, leading up to the election, about how our very institutions of Trust and principles were the very things the nature of this Trumpian way has been exploiting all along the way! In Trump's world, he refers to the faithful and trusting as suckers and losers. Does anyone get that? Do you get it now?
Why this worldclass racket has been so successful is because of all the misinformational, highly polarizing, sleaze-propaganda thats been algorithmically propagated via social media in regard to the Maga/Qanon movement, over this last decade. And yes... The Russians played a strong hand in that very thing! It has been indoctrinating so many devotees to the point of subversion. There are literally millions of people devoted to emotionally charged false information, they could be present in any situation or employment stratosphere. They're peppered all throughout society. That they may have infiltrated the institutions of our free and fair elections, should be up for consideration.
Clouds Passing
(2,250 posts)Why are the Ds so willing to give away our democracy without a question?
MichMan
(13,135 posts)Costs which have to be paid by whomever has standing to request one.
Why throw more money down a black hole?
Clouds Passing
(2,250 posts)MichMan
(13,135 posts)Clouds Passing
(2,250 posts)MichMan
(13,135 posts)For example, Trump is leading Harris by 80,000 votes in Michigan with a margin of 1.4%
The margin of victory in the Franken/Coleman Minnesota Senate race in 2008 was 0.01%
I've seen post after post saying that there should be a recount "because" and "why not", yet people are expecting someone else to foot the bill. Easy to spend someone else's money on something that has zero hope of succeeding. Might as well throw it in a black hole.
Clouds Passing
(2,250 posts)JR11
(25 posts)If you haven't figured it out by now, the internet has been weaponized with electronically enhanced psychological warfare... and it's been employed where it counts... in matters of power and position.
Jeebo
(2,268 posts)... but, we all have to know that it's a Hail Mary at this point.
Ron
kimbutgar
(23,240 posts)And I remember that one could change how things are tabulated by coding software.
I agree we need a hand recount in those swing states. Its just too coincidental he won all of them. If we dont catch them now they will perfect and do it going forward and maintain total control.
And I just cant believe the American people Black, Hispanic, Muslim and Asian people went for him when all he did was attack minorities.
garybeck
(10,028 posts)I've seen people question the numbers from Spoonamore, but not any solid response or confirmation.
Chadarius
(4 posts)We will compare you to Q. This is conspiracy drivel. We have all had quite enough. 10 million people that needed to vote, just didn't. Plain and simple. THAT is Occam's Razor.
FYI, there are millions people that "built their own hardware". That is also drivel. I'm not impressed.