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soandso

(1,105 posts)
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 05:46 PM 10 hrs ago

The so-called "bullet ballots" and too many voting for president only

This comes up several times a day with the assertion that swing states had far more ballots voting for president (presumably Trump) only and skipping the rest of the ballot/voting top of the ticket exclusively. So, I finally took a look and posted the following in another thread where it's not really going to been seen much. I'm reposting here for anyone interested:

I took some random states, some swing states and some not, and compared the difference between the number of votes for president to the number of votes in their senate races. I used Decision Desk for the latest totals.

California

Presidential Votes: 15,104,778
Senate Votes: 14,638,283
Percentage Difference: ((15,104,778 - 14,638,283) / 15,104,778) * 100 ≈ 3.09%

Arizona

Presidential Votes: 3,378,651
Senate Votes: 3,337,566
Percentage Difference: ((3,378,651 - 3,337,566) / 3,378,651) * 100 ≈ 1.22%

New Mexico

Presidential Votes: 923,319
Senate Votes: 903,201
Percentage Difference: ((923,319 - 903,201) / 923,319) * 100 ≈ 2.18%

Minnesota

Presidential Votes: 3,242,938
Senate Votes: 3,186,151
Percentage Difference: ((3,242,938 - 3,186,151) / 3,242,938) * 100 ≈ 1.75%

Wisconsin

Presidential Votes: 3,415,154
Senate Votes: 3,387,420
Percentage Difference: ((3,415,154 - 3,387,420) / 3,415,154) * 100 ≈ 0.81%

Washington

Presidential Votes: 3,845,914
Senate Votes: 3,752,419
Percentage Difference: ((3,845,914 - 3,752,419) / 3,845,914) * 100 ≈ 2.43%

Texas

Presidential Votes: 11,559,607
Senate Votes: 11,269,112
Percentage Difference: ((11,559,607 - 11,269,112) / 11,559,607) * 100 ≈ 2.51%

Pennsylvania

Presidential Votes: 7,025,367
Senate Votes: 6,953,319
Percentage Difference: ((7,025,367 - 6,953,319) / 7,025,367) * 100 ≈ 1.03%

Virginia

Presidential Votes: 4,482,075
Senate Votes: 4,436,419
Percentage Difference: ((4,482,075 - 4,436,419) / 4,482,075) * 100 ≈ 1.02%

Ohio

Presidential Votes: 5,647,668
Senate Votes: 5,585,865
Percentage Difference: ((5,647,668 - 5,585,865) / 5,647,668) * 100 ≈ 1.09%


As you can see, the swing states did NOT have a greater %age difference in top of the ticket and down ballot. In fact, it's California (blue state) that has the greatest discrepancy and Wisconsin (swing state) the lowest.

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/
https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-Senate/

105 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The so-called "bullet ballots" and too many voting for president only (Original Post) soandso 10 hrs ago OP
Was just about to ask you in the other thread to make this an OP Sympthsical 10 hrs ago #1
I hope it adds a bit of clarity soandso 10 hrs ago #2
What does that even mean? Define %age difference, I don't know what you're talking about. bucolic_frolic 10 hrs ago #3
The percentage difference between soandso 10 hrs ago #5
It's the percentage of votes cast in the presidential race in excess of the votes cast in the Senate race onenote 10 hrs ago #7
And what this reveals soandso 9 hrs ago #25
Yep. There are lots of low information voters who simply choose not to vote in a race they probably don't know onenote 8 hrs ago #63
I'm good with that soandso 8 hrs ago #76
Thanks, but don't expect 2024 "election deniers" to accept facts. Silent Type 10 hrs ago #4
The scare quotes should be dropped. Igel 9 hrs ago #48
So you mean the spoon guy is full of crap? Who could have guessed? tritsofme 10 hrs ago #6
IIRC, he was claiming software was hacked soandso 10 hrs ago #8
He has made lots of baseless claims, I'll give you that. tritsofme 10 hrs ago #10
It's up to the people peddling this crap to show back up HereForTheParty 10 hrs ago #11
This guy? JanMichael 8 hrs ago #75
thank you for posting this. Takket 10 hrs ago #9
My pleasure soandso 9 hrs ago #19
Not the same ERW 7 hrs ago #83
first post huh? funny all these low post count numbers trying to whip up DU into an election conspiracy frenzy Takket 7 hrs ago #93
Your analysis is just meaningless numbers... SnoopDog 10 hrs ago #12
If a bullet ballot SickOfTheOnePct 10 hrs ago #15
How about the House votes? SnoopDog 9 hrs ago #51
It doesn't matter SickOfTheOnePct 8 hrs ago #56
Well, the Senate race in PA was important too SnoopDog 8 hrs ago #68
You don't seem to understand what a "bullet ballot" is. onenote 7 hrs ago #78
Right...bad guys would think to themselves... SnoopDog 7 hrs ago #80
So why didn't they steal the Senate races in Arizona and Wisconsin too? tritsofme 7 hrs ago #86
The guy pushing the conspiracy theory that the race was stolen is using that definition EdmondDantes_ 7 hrs ago #87
Spoonamore provided the definition: onenote 7 hrs ago #91
By definition, a so called "bullet ballot" does not include... reACTIONary 7 hrs ago #79
See above post 80... SnoopDog 7 hrs ago #81
Your post 80 is exactly right, which means... reACTIONary 7 hrs ago #94
Concerning serious reflection and analysis.... reACTIONary 7 hrs ago #96
Thank you for the article! n/t Ms. Toad 3 hrs ago #103
Yeah, how about those soandso 8 hrs ago #61
lol, right...These are actual numbers, unlike the Spoon guy's make-believe numbers. tritsofme 9 hrs ago #16
lol soandso 9 hrs ago #21
Are you a mathematician? An election specialist? Statistician? SnoopDog 9 hrs ago #53
The numbers I posted are those posted by the states soandso 8 hrs ago #66
I'm not, but let me ask you this... do you think the DNC employs such people? Takket 7 hrs ago #84
I don't know.... Does the Democractic Party have any leadership? SnoopDog 7 hrs ago #90
Yeah, it's crazy that some swing states showed as much as 5% and 7% of "President Only" ballots.. Think. Again. 10 hrs ago #13
The numbers provided in the OP SickOfTheOnePct 10 hrs ago #14
Oddly enough... Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #26
But Spoonamore says it's 7% in Arizona SickOfTheOnePct 9 hrs ago #35
Lake is the only red Senate candidate on the ballot. Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #42
I'm not sure why you think that matters in any way? Not everyone votes a straight ticket. tritsofme 9 hrs ago #45
Exactly SickOfTheOnePct 9 hrs ago #47
maybe Kari Lake should be the one asking for a recount then LOL Takket 7 hrs ago #88
All this means is that a bunch of Trump voters also voted for Gallego. tritsofme 9 hrs ago #38
All that shows is that people split tickets soandso 9 hrs ago #41
And neither do you. Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #43
I never made any claim that necessitated access to ballots soandso 9 hrs ago #49
This just demonstrates split tickets Abnredleg 9 hrs ago #44
States prevent split ballots? Igel 9 hrs ago #50
lol...wow. There's no evidence to support the claim, but here's some guy who called into a radio show. tritsofme 9 hrs ago #18
Post removed Post removed 9 hrs ago #27
There is certainly a group of folks who are eager to be scammed tritsofme 9 hrs ago #29
Feel free to check my math in post # 26 Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #31
Your math in post #26 has nothing to do with the claim that there was an inordinate number of bullet ballots. onenote 7 hrs ago #85
But remember: " His number estimates aren't important" muriel_volestrangler 9 hrs ago #23
How about instead of relying on somebody else soandso 9 hrs ago #24
See post #26 Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #33
Actual numbers just aren't backing the claim. paleotn 8 hrs ago #65
And after viewing the interview again... Think. Again. 8 hrs ago #69
There's a dozen ways to slice and dice the data, but no smoking gun so far. paleotn 8 hrs ago #72
How are we supposed to avoid the emotions of the election results if we can't claim the results are fraudulent? Fiendish Thingy 9 hrs ago #17
It's this OP that is wrong, they used the numbers from both Dem and red ballots together. Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #32
The bullet ballots are the reason we won so many close Gov. Senate and House races Fiendish Thingy 9 hrs ago #20
Exactly right soandso 9 hrs ago #22
I'd say over 9% is a big excess of bullet ballots (see post # 26). Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #30
It would be SickOfTheOnePct 9 hrs ago #39
I saw your post and addressed it soandso 9 hrs ago #46
You do realize that our lack of the actual ballots... Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #52
You don't need to see the ballots SickOfTheOnePct 8 hrs ago #58
Explain what those numbers mean please? Think. Again. 8 hrs ago #60
What position? soandso 8 hrs ago #64
close races don't need huge numbers ERW 7 hrs ago #89
True enough soandso 7 hrs ago #97
Hi, you used numbers from both Dem and red ballots... Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #28
Show your work soandso 9 hrs ago #34
See post # 26 Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #36
No you didn't Zeitghost 4 hrs ago #100
Nope SickOfTheOnePct 9 hrs ago #37
Lake was the only red Senate candidate on the ballot. Think. Again. 9 hrs ago #40
So what? SickOfTheOnePct 9 hrs ago #54
And many republicans didn't like her and voted for the democratic jimfields33 8 hrs ago #55
And then how did the green Senate candidate end up with over 50k more than stein? Think. Again. 8 hrs ago #59
Many voters think the environment is priority jimfields33 8 hrs ago #62
So you think some trump voters also voted for the green senate candidate? Think. Again. 8 hrs ago #70
People splitting tickets differently than you think they should have is not evidence of fraud. tritsofme 8 hrs ago #71
Actually, I may be heading that way... Think. Again. 8 hrs ago #74
No. jimfields33 7 hrs ago #92
Because there will have been people who voted Trump for president, and Quintana (Green) for senator muriel_volestrangler 8 min ago #104
I don't think that's the claim at all. Igel 8 hrs ago #57
So (please correct me if I'm wrong)... Think. Again. 8 hrs ago #67
Yes wanderer54 7 min ago #105
Good job Cirsium 8 hrs ago #73
It's not the right soandso 8 hrs ago #77
yes, understood Cirsium 7 hrs ago #82
I don't know why they would would soandso 7 hrs ago #95
Well, that is depressing Cirsium 3 hrs ago #101
What's depressing? soandso 3 hrs ago #102
Paper ballot judge, here Maeve 6 hrs ago #98
Jeez soandso 4 hrs ago #99

soandso

(1,105 posts)
2. I hope it adds a bit of clarity
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 05:52 PM
10 hrs ago

I try to make a habit of checking everything if it's significant enough to bother. I do the same with news articles and claims that they make.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
5. The percentage difference between
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 05:55 PM
10 hrs ago

how many people only voted in the presidential race vs down ballot races, in a particular state. There's been some claims that swing states had zillions of ballots only voting for president and nothing else and that that's fishy, indicating fraud. So, I checked.

onenote

(44,582 posts)
7. It's the percentage of votes cast in the presidential race in excess of the votes cast in the Senate race
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 05:59 PM
10 hrs ago

It happens every four years that some number of voters cast a ballot for president and leave the rest of the ballot blank. The percentage of voters doing that in 2024 in the swing states is not out of line with the percentage doing it in non-swing states. It's also not out of line with the percentage doing it in 2020. For example, the percentage in Arizona in 2024 is almost identical to the percentage in 2020.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
25. And what this reveals
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:47 PM
9 hrs ago

is that a number of people (probably not midterm and primary voters) are motivated by the general presidential race and just want to be heard/counted in that.

onenote

(44,582 posts)
63. Yep. There are lots of low information voters who simply choose not to vote in a race they probably don't know
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:33 PM
8 hrs ago

much about.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
76. I'm good with that
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:04 PM
8 hrs ago

in that I would rather someone not vote if they don't know who or what they're voting for. In that way, it may be the intelligent choice.

A lot of people simply are not into politics but can't help but be aware of the presidential race since it's in our faces so much. They may know a lot about Harris and Trump but the guy running for drain commissioner, not so much.

Igel

(36,075 posts)
48. The scare quotes should be dropped.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:15 PM
9 hrs ago

To stop protecting those in "error".

Ahem.

A lot of folk in late 2004 suffered from "ED"--election denialism.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
8. IIRC, he was claiming software was hacked
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:00 PM
10 hrs ago

flipping votes from Harris to Trump. I'm unable to check that claim.

Takket

(22,506 posts)
9. thank you for posting this.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:04 PM
10 hrs ago

I have been very disheartened watching some DUers post the exact same conspiracy theories we saw drumpf pushing 4 years ago, from bloggers who are more upset Harris lost than they are interested in what really happened.

I hope an injection of facts gets people to focus on what they can do to help rather than inventing excuses.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
19. My pleasure
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:30 PM
9 hrs ago

I just had to verify it for myself (a good habit). A lot of claims have been made and that one was actually something I could check.

ERW

(2 posts)
83. Not the same
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:41 PM
7 hrs ago

DUers not posting the same conspiracy theories as the GOPs in 2020. Theirs were not credible because of who they were claiming did the vote rigging. Wild claims. The GOP has manipulated votes in the past i.e., the 2004 election. They have also engaged in conspiracies to prevent Dem presidents from winning (Nixon - interfering in Johnson's Vietnam peace talks, Reagan interfering with the hostage negotiations during Carter's campaign). The possibility for computer rigging is real and we should always seek to verify the results. If we did, then people Dems or GOPs wouldn't be as suspicious. We have a faith based voting system because the results are rarely verified by comparing hand counts of ballots with the computer vote totals.

Takket

(22,506 posts)
93. first post huh? funny all these low post count numbers trying to whip up DU into an election conspiracy frenzy
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:51 PM
7 hrs ago

not buying it, comrade.

Especially since "hand counting ballots" has been debunked as a right wing tactic designed to do the exact opposite of ensuring election accuracy, to sew lack of confidence in the system

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/georgia-judge-blocks-election-rule-requiring-hand-counting-of-ballots/

SnoopDog

(2,457 posts)
12. Your analysis is just meaningless numbers...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:17 PM
10 hrs ago

Choosing presidential votes vs senate votes and using the percentage difference is meaningless.

Providing meaningless data like this appears to be nothing ore than a diversion from the truth.

SickOfTheOnePct

(7,323 posts)
15. If a bullet ballot
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:24 PM
10 hrs ago

is defined as a ballot with a Presidential vote only and no other votes, then showing the percentage of Presidental ballots that don't have a Senate vote is exactly how you determine the number/percentage of bullet ballots.

It's pretty basic math.

SnoopDog

(2,457 posts)
51. How about the House votes?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:18 PM
9 hrs ago

The Senate race was equally important.

The president and senate race each had more votes than the combined House votes.

The op’s analysis is meaningless. A recount is definitely warranted.

I am amazed that some many Democrats here just want to give up…wonder why?

SickOfTheOnePct

(7,323 posts)
56. It doesn't matter
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:26 PM
8 hrs ago

A bullet ballot is a ballot that has ONLY a Presidential vote and no others - no Senate, no House, no ballot questions/intiatives.

When there are 3,378,651 Presidental votes and 3,337,566 Senate votes, the maximum number of bullet ballots is 41,085.

For a 7% bullet ballot rate, that number would need to be 123,540 bullet ballots.

Doing math and proving the numbers is not giving up, it's accepting basic math.

SnoopDog

(2,457 posts)
68. Well, the Senate race in PA was important too
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:42 PM
8 hrs ago

The so-called bullet ballot could include the Senate race to.

I am always amazed how Dems are so quick to give up.

VP Harris could easily call for a recount. It would show Democrats that 'trust but verify' is a good policy.

onenote

(44,582 posts)
78. You don't seem to understand what a "bullet ballot" is.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:27 PM
7 hrs ago

It's a ballot in which the voter only casts a vote in one of the contests on that ballot. It is common for a number of voters to limit their voting to just the presidential race and to ignore all of the other races on the ballot.

In Pennsylvania, there were a total of 7,022,625 votes cast for president and only 69,527,722 in the Senate race. That means that the number of bullet ballots in the presidential race could not exceed 70,903 or around 1 percent. There might be some bullet ballots in the senate race -- voters who only cast a vote in the Senate contest and not any other contest, including the presidential contest. But even if there are, it wouldn't change the maximum number of bullet ballots that could have been cast in the Presidential race.

BTW, the number of presidential ballots cast in Pennsylvania in 2020 was 108,687 -- or around 1.57 percent - more than the number cast in the only other statewide race that year. Does that mean that Biden's victory in Pennsylvania in 2020 is suspect? Of course not.

It really is just simple math.

SnoopDog

(2,457 posts)
80. Right...bad guys would think to themselves...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:35 PM
7 hrs ago

Oh, we can only steal one race so let it be the presidency - we have to stick with the definition that the 'bullet ballot' only applies to one race.

Ridiculous...

tritsofme

(18,447 posts)
86. So why didn't they steal the Senate races in Arizona and Wisconsin too?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:43 PM
7 hrs ago

Why not give themselves a little more cushion in the House? Didn’t want to be greedy? lol

It’s actually quite interesting to watch these election denial conspiracy theories morph in real time.

EdmondDantes_

(46 posts)
87. The guy pushing the conspiracy theory that the race was stolen is using that definition
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:44 PM
7 hrs ago

So it's absolutely correct to use that definition to demonstrate that his "evidence" is nonsense. That and it's the definition of the term.

onenote

(44,582 posts)
91. Spoonamore provided the definition:
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:48 PM
7 hrs ago

From his letter:
North Carolina is the most extreme. The public results indicate over 350K voters cast a ballot for Trump and no other race making up over 11% of Trump’s voters in NC drop off votes or bullet ballots.

The problem is that his claim of 350,000 bullet ballots -- ballots for Trump and no other races is resoundingly debunked by the fact that difference between the number of votes in the presidential race and the governor's race is nowhere near 350,000.

And whether you intended to do so or not, you point out another flaw in Spoonamore bullet ballot allegation: if you were going to manufacture 350,000 fake ballots for president why would you make them bullet ballots? Why not include a vote for another republican candidate? Wouldn't that be less suspicious? Did the alleged manufacturers of these alleged ballots not want to flip the North Carolina governor's race, or the Senate races in in Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada and Arizona -- all states where Spoonamore claims were impacted by bullet ballots -- and all states in which the actual numbers thoroughly debunk any such claim.

reACTIONary

(6,007 posts)
79. By definition, a so called "bullet ballot" does not include...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:34 PM
7 hrs ago

... a vote for a Senate candidate. That is why it is alleged to be "suspicious".

The election was free and fair. We have to focus on reality and stop with these parinoid CT grievance fantasies.

reACTIONary

(6,007 posts)
94. Your post 80 is exactly right, which means...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:58 PM
7 hrs ago

..... all of this "bullet ballet" brew-ha-ha is not just factually wrong, it also doesn't comport with what we would expect from a "bad guy". It's just plain old bullshit.

Every election there are always all sorts of so called "statistical anomalies" brought up some among the losers that are said to be suspicious or outright prove a "rigged" election. It's all bullsit.

The election was free and fair. It's a time for serious reflection and analysis, not CT bullshit.

tritsofme

(18,447 posts)
16. lol, right...These are actual numbers, unlike the Spoon guy's make-believe numbers.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:25 PM
9 hrs ago

But I know some folks like to play pretend…

I honestly almost thought you wrote that in jest or as satire or something.

SnoopDog

(2,457 posts)
53. Are you a mathematician? An election specialist? Statistician?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:21 PM
9 hrs ago

These are legitimate questions for you.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
66. The numbers I posted are those posted by the states
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:40 PM
8 hrs ago

Nobody has to be a mathematician or election specialist to look at what's posted online.

Takket

(22,506 posts)
84. I'm not, but let me ask you this... do you think the DNC employs such people?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:42 PM
7 hrs ago

And do you think such people have looked at the election numbers?

SnoopDog

(2,457 posts)
90. I don't know.... Does the Democractic Party have any leadership?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:48 PM
7 hrs ago

Has the Democratic Party Leadership issued any plan to fight the repubs? I haven't received any such plan.

Think. Again.

(17,824 posts)
13. Yeah, it's crazy that some swing states showed as much as 5% and 7% of "President Only" ballots..
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:18 PM
10 hrs ago

...when the average is usually less than 1%

I know people will ask me to prove it but I can only refer you to this interview with Thom Hartman...

(Spoonamore interview starts around 2:15)

https://m.



SickOfTheOnePct

(7,323 posts)
14. The numbers provided in the OP
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:22 PM
10 hrs ago

prove that the states didn't report 5% & 7% bullet ballots.

Unless you think the state election officials are providing one set of numbers to the public and a different set of numbers to Spoonamore. And if that's the case, then Spoonamore should provide the numbers to the public and call out the state election officials.

Think. Again.

(17,824 posts)
26. Oddly enough...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:48 PM
9 hrs ago

The OP show ALL Presidential and Senate vote numbers when Spoonamore is clearly and obvioysly speaking about trump and red down ballot votes:

Let's just take the real numbers from the site provided in the OP for Arizona (which Spoonamore specifically mentions along with Nevada)...

Arizona
trump (President) 1,764,862
lake (Senate) 1,591,318

((1,764,862 - 1,591,318) / 1,764,862 * 100 = 9.83%

Edit to add: red vote numbers from the same source as OP: https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/Arizona/

SickOfTheOnePct

(7,323 posts)
35. But Spoonamore says it's 7% in Arizona
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:01 PM
9 hrs ago

And you're saying it's almost 10%, so obviously the way you calculated it isn't the way he's calculating.

A bullet ballot, per all of the Spoonamore acolytes, is a ballot in which only a Presidential vote was recorded on the ballot - nothing else - no Senate, no House, no ballot question.

All your numbers show is that 173,544 people who voted for Trump didn't vote for Lake. But since the overall delta for the state of Arizona between the Presidential race and the Senate race is only 41,085, then a whole bunch of voters (132,459, to be exact) voted for Trump for President, and then someone other than Lake for Senate.

tritsofme

(18,447 posts)
45. I'm not sure why you think that matters in any way? Not everyone votes a straight ticket.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:12 PM
9 hrs ago

All you have found evidence of is ticket splitting

tritsofme

(18,447 posts)
38. All this means is that a bunch of Trump voters also voted for Gallego.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:03 PM
9 hrs ago

If the total difference in vote casts between the presidential and Senate race is only around 40k, this theory is literally impossible.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
41. All that shows is that people split tickets
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:05 PM
9 hrs ago

which happens in every election. It does NOT show 9.83% of people who voted for Trump voted in no other races because you and Spoonamore do not have access to those ballots.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
49. I never made any claim that necessitated access to ballots
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:17 PM
9 hrs ago

You and Spoonamore have. A recount will also not provide the information you and he are making claims about.

Abnredleg

(909 posts)
44. This just demonstrates split tickets
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:09 PM
9 hrs ago

Lake was not a popular candidate. Same thing happened in NC - lots of people voted for both Trump and Stein. Same thing happened in MI, WI, and NV.

Igel

(36,075 posts)
50. States prevent split ballots?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:18 PM
9 hrs ago

That strikes me as being "in error as far as the truth is concerned."

tritsofme

(18,447 posts)
18. lol...wow. There's no evidence to support the claim, but here's some guy who called into a radio show.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:29 PM
9 hrs ago

Providing zero evidence of his fantastical claims.

And just ignore the numbers in the OP…because you don’t like them. This would be funnier if it wasn’t so pathetic.

Response to tritsofme (Reply #18)

tritsofme

(18,447 posts)
29. There is certainly a group of folks who are eager to be scammed
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:53 PM
9 hrs ago

Whether it happens to be pillows or spoons.

onenote

(44,582 posts)
85. Your math in post #26 has nothing to do with the claim that there was an inordinate number of bullet ballots.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:42 PM
7 hrs ago

For the umpteenth time, a bullet ballot is a ballot in which the voter cast a vote in one race and ignored all the other contest on the ballot. All of them. So the number of bullet ballots in the presidential race in any state cannot be larger than the total number of ballots cast in any other state-wide race on the ballot, such as Senate or Governor. It's just simple math.

Spoonamore could not be more clear in how he defines a bullet ballot, and it is not how you are trying to define it. From one of his letters:
"North Carolina is the most extreme. The public results indicate over 350K voters cast a ballot for Trump and no other race making up over 11% of Trump’s voters in NC drop off votes or bullet ballots.

Of course, Spoonamore has absolutely no way to know how many bullet ballots were cast in North Carolina let alone how many were for Trump alone. By his analysis, you would have to subtract 350,000 votes from Trump, not add any to Harris so that the total number of votes cast in the presidential race was 5,328,667 while the total number of votes in the governor's race would still be 5,590,469. The idea that more than 260,000 voters cast ballots in the Governor's race but not in the Presidential race is ludicrous.

paleotn

(19,165 posts)
65. Actual numbers just aren't backing the claim.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:37 PM
8 hrs ago

I thought it strange too but the data isn't backing it up. Sorry.

Think. Again.

(17,824 posts)
69. And after viewing the interview again...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:44 PM
8 hrs ago

...I noticed that Spoonamore said "I beginning to think the bullet ballots aren't there".

paleotn

(19,165 posts)
72. There's a dozen ways to slice and dice the data, but no smoking gun so far.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:53 PM
8 hrs ago

What I do know is Elmo literally paid a bunch of people to register and vote. Doubt those motivated by such would spend a whole lot of time perusing the city alderman race way down the ballot. Elmo should be prosecuted for that as it's patently illegal. But he won't. Thanks, Merrick.

Fiendish Thingy

(18,460 posts)
17. How are we supposed to avoid the emotions of the election results if we can't claim the results are fraudulent?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:26 PM
9 hrs ago


Thanks for the evidence-based reality check.

Fiendish Thingy

(18,460 posts)
20. The bullet ballots are the reason we won so many close Gov. Senate and House races
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:31 PM
9 hrs ago

Imagine if those single candidate voters had voted down ballot races…

No Baldwin, Gallego, Stein or other Dems would have been elected.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
22. Exactly right
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:37 PM
9 hrs ago

If, say, Arizona had some huge excess of "bullet ballots" (and they don't), you'd think the Trump peeps would have included Kari Lake.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
46. I saw your post and addressed it
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:13 PM
9 hrs ago

You and Spoonamore do not have access to the ballots. You don't know how many people voted for Harris and no one else, Trump and no one else, or how many split their tickets and how. You would have to have access to the ballots to get that information. Trump did very well with Hispanic men who could have easily voted for Trump and Gallego.

Think. Again.

(17,824 posts)
52. You do realize that our lack of the actual ballots...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:20 PM
9 hrs ago

...makes you position unprovable also, right?

We need to do recounts.

SickOfTheOnePct

(7,323 posts)
58. You don't need to see the ballots
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:28 PM
8 hrs ago

to do basic math.

41,085 does not (and cannot be made to) equal to 123,540.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
64. What position?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:36 PM
8 hrs ago

I posted the percentage difference in presidential and senate votes in several states, all proved with the actual numbers. You, OTOH, keep making claims that require detailed audits (not recounts) of ballots you and and spoon guy don't have access to.

ERW

(2 posts)
89. close races don't need huge numbers
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:47 PM
7 hrs ago

Close races don't need huge numbers of manipulated votes. They just need a few to make it believable.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
97. True enough
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 09:19 PM
7 hrs ago

and some races may be recounted because they were so close.

Define "manipulated" votes. Do you mean fake/inelligible/dead/whatever voters or what?

Think. Again.

(17,824 posts)
28. Hi, you used numbers from both Dem and red ballots...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 06:53 PM
9 hrs ago

The claim is that RED ballots have a large percentage of President only ballots and when I did the math in post #26 it turns out Spoonamore is right.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
34. Show your work
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:00 PM
9 hrs ago

Because you don't have access to ballots that voted for Trump but not anyone else, just as you don't access to ballots that voted for Kamala and no one else or ballots that skipped the top of the ticket and voted for other candidates. IOW, you didn't "do the math".

Think. Again.

(17,824 posts)
36. See post # 26
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:02 PM
9 hrs ago

I did the same math as the OP and used the same source for the vote numbers.

I took the Pres. vote total, subtracted the Senate total, just as you did.

Zeitghost

(4,539 posts)
100. No you didn't
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 11:43 PM
4 hrs ago

In order to account for split ticket voting, you need to include all votes in a race, not just one party.

SickOfTheOnePct

(7,323 posts)
37. Nope
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:02 PM
9 hrs ago

You simply proved that 132,459 people who voted for Trump didn't vote for Lake, but they did record a Senate vote.

Which means it's not a bullet ballot.

SickOfTheOnePct

(7,323 posts)
54. So what?
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:21 PM
9 hrs ago

Not everyone votes a straight ticket.

For there to be a 7% bullet ballot rate in Arizona, looking at only Trump votes, there would need to be 123,540 ballots that voted for Trump only, and no other down ballot races.

1,764,862 * .07 = 123,540

There were only 41,085 ballots that had only a President vote (doesn't matter which party).

There is no way to turn 41,085 into 123,540 no matter how hard you try.

jimfields33

(18,759 posts)
55. And many republicans didn't like her and voted for the democratic
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:26 PM
8 hrs ago

nominee. This happens every election.

jimfields33

(18,759 posts)
62. Many voters think the environment is priority
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:32 PM
8 hrs ago

I agree. But voted for our democratic candidate. But obviously some felt going full vote on green was important to them. Stein was an after thought this election. Her damage was in 2016.

tritsofme

(18,447 posts)
71. People splitting tickets differently than you think they should have is not evidence of fraud.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:51 PM
8 hrs ago

At least you seem to have backed away from the magic bullet ballot?

Think. Again.

(17,824 posts)
74. Actually, I may be heading that way...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:53 PM
8 hrs ago

I've watched the Spoonamore interview again and at one point he says "I'm beginning to think the bullet ballots aren't there".

muriel_volestrangler

(102,456 posts)
104. Because there will have been people who voted Trump for president, and Quintana (Green) for senator
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 04:16 AM
8 min ago

They may have taken a look at Lake and thought "wow, she's just crazy". They are anti-Democrat, however, and so they gave the Green their senatorial vote. And that means they were not a "bullet ballot" voter. They are a significant indicator that Spoonamore is talking out of his behind.

Igel

(36,075 posts)
57. I don't think that's the claim at all.
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:27 PM
8 hrs ago

The claim is that there are a lot of people who voted for Trump but did not vote for specific other (R) candidates and the difference between the two--which nobody could ever vote differently on--is proof of single-vote ballots.

That's very different from saying they didn't vote for *any* other candidate. In fact, to show that a significant number of people *did* split the tickets is strong counterevidence.

So, as a thought experiment--purely imaginary, let's magine if you had a state in which the (D) Senate candidate got more votes than Harris.

Say, maybe, Arizona:
Gallego (D) 1,671,985
Harris (D) 1,578,856

Obviously, if such a thing happened, that would entail certain far-out possibilities. Maybe the Harris campaign was subverted and provided, on the QT, 90,000 ballots that simply could not be marked for Harris. Or maybe Gallego's folk provided bullet ballots to replace real ballots! Uh-oh. Because we have to assume nobody could vote against Harris and for Gallego--that's simply impossible.

Except those are the results from https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/races/arizona-president-all-parties-general-election (and the Senate tab at that site). So it's not a thought experiment, it's just counterevidence that Must Not Be Named.

Think. Again.

(17,824 posts)
67. So (please correct me if I'm wrong)...
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:41 PM
8 hrs ago

You're saying that people voted for trump AND Gallego and/or Quintana, but not lake?

wanderer54

(50 posts)
105. Yes
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 04:16 AM
7 min ago

Lake is not popular So some Trump voters voted for the Democratic cantidate and some voted for the Green Party.

Cirsium

(777 posts)
73. Good job
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 07:53 PM
8 hrs ago

Good job, well done. Thanks for that.

What is driving this? Are right wingers feeding this crap into social media? It just goes on and on.

There are all sorts of ways that Republicans suprress the vote and distort the information landscape and it has been going on for years. There is no need to make stuff up.

soandso

(1,105 posts)
77. It's not the right
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:24 PM
8 hrs ago

It's the left who can't fathom the outcome, just as the Trumpers couldn't in 2020. Then there are people like Thom Hartman, who people give credibility, questioning the results.

There's nothing wrong with questioning but making assertions without proof is useless. What I looked up was easy. Claims about software with malicious code and Starlink counting votes are something else. I think the Starlink stuff was quickly debunked and explained how it was (barely) used but the software stuff requires experts. The Trump campaign made just about all the same assertions and ran into the same problems when it came to software because it's so hard to prove and requires access which they didn't have, though I think they tried. Ironically, some Democrats going down this road about fraud has sparked Republicans saying the millions of fewer votes for Harris over what Biden got, in 2020, proves their own claims that the 81 million contained a bunch of fraudulent votes (which they never proved, either).

Cirsium

(777 posts)
82. yes, understood
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 08:40 PM
7 hrs ago

Yes, Democrats are spreading it. But are bad actors from the right fanning the flames?

soandso

(1,105 posts)
95. I don't know why they would would
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 09:07 PM
7 hrs ago

since they won. They haven't asked for a recount, in Michigan, where the Dem candidate won the senate by just .4%/about 20K votes. Thom Hartmann is certainly fanning the flames along with some posters here. I don't find it too weird, though. People want to win.

Cirsium

(777 posts)
101. Well, that is depressing
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 12:24 AM
3 hrs ago

You could be right. I know you defended Twitter recently, so you may not be able to imagine that we are being gamed on social media. Have you ever heard of a "false flag" operation?

Here is how that might work. A fake story is generated and disseminated from a troll farm. Democrats bite on it and start spreading it. It is then proved false and Democrats look ridiculous. Any and all subsequent charges against the Republicans, no matter whether they are true or not , are dismissed. Meanwhile the actual voter suppression being done by the Republicans is buried.

You think that just because the Republicans won they are not still working against us 24/7?

soandso

(1,105 posts)
102. What's depressing?
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 12:46 AM
3 hrs ago

Of course, I know what a false flag is. What you're talking about is a disinfo campaign which is not the same thing. Do you think Thom Hartmann and this Spoon guy are picking this stuff up from sus accounts on Tiktok and amplifying it or might they have just jumped to an unfounded conclusion? The poster Think_Again came back to this thread and said the spoonster has recanted and now thinks there were not an unusual number of "ballot ballots". That kind of looks like he may simply have mistaken and was overly zealous. The other stuff about software being messed with may still be something he's alleging but I don't know.

And, yeah, I defended freedom of speech which you oppose.

If you have some social media accounts that you are suspicious of being involved in a disinfo campaign, share what you have. Currently, with this bullet ballot thing, I'm not seeing anything nefarious, just some jumping the gun and incorrect assumptions not backed up by data.

Maeve

(42,954 posts)
98. Paper ballot judge, here
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 09:32 PM
6 hrs ago

Ohio....the number of people who ask "Do i have to vote all this?" always surprises me. The low-info voters are there for one race. Period

soandso

(1,105 posts)
99. Jeez
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 11:33 PM
4 hrs ago

I guess you tell them to vote on what they want to? Like I previously said, I'd rather people not vote when they aren't informed so there's that. We don't want people just randomly checking shit off, lol.

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