General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe GOP's gerrymandering, one word; Independents
The GOP can't gerrymander, even in the deep red South, with only Republican registered voters. There are not enough of them to spread to all the new districts to win them.
They must rely on traditionally Republican voting Independents.
The problem they may face is Trump's approval among independents has plummeted to 25%. A big swing in Independents for the Democrats in districts that now have a diluted GOP vote could swing this election.
All speculative, but a hopeful perspective.
magicarpet
(19,238 posts)I'll take it. My blood pressure dropped a notch or two - THX.
Iris
(16,885 posts)This gives me some hope esp after OH's bloody Republican primary yesterday
Baitball Blogger
(52,644 posts)Good observation.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100221211172
edhopper
(37,471 posts)Baitball Blogger
(52,644 posts)everyonematters
(4,232 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(23,844 posts)As elections over the past year have shown, independents are swinging towards Dems in a big way. Even republicans are voting for Dems in not insignificant numbers, enough to flip seats in districts Trump won by +20 in 2024 (see recent races in TX and FL, among other places, for example).
The desperate , Hail Mary Gerrymandering wont save them.
Mister Ed
(6,971 posts)That outrage may drive millions of normally-complacent voters to the polls when they might have otherwise skipped the midterms.
Statewide elections can't be gerrymandered. Close Senate elections that might otherwise have gone to the GOP candidate might go the other way instead.
To prevent that, the GOP will likely try to employ increasingly heavy-handed voter suppression methods, which might stir more voter outrage. May justice and democracy prevail.
karynnj
(61,073 posts)I wonder if the unintended consequence of gerrymandering to the fullest extent might be that it eliminates the very homogeneous districts that have allowed extreme candidates to not just win, but then be in safe seats.
To get all the seats, they might have to water down 60 percent or more districts to possibly, say 52/48 percent districts. The historical trend toward seats being solidly one way has led to the election of more highly partisan people. If this reverses that, could it favor people who are more centrist?