IMHO theres a real chance we're in a shooting war in Iran by the end of the year.

[3_Limes]

It seems clear to me that Netanyahu's current strategy is to force Trump back to a military solution to the jam he's gotten us in to by preventing a diplomatic solution from working. Israel has a lot of leverage here and I expect every bit to capitalized on. Having us "finish the job" brings nothing but up side for their agenda. So why wouldn't they push hard for it ? Looks to me like there's a high probability for success.

Am I being alarmist? Or is this a likely scenario?

[hookaleft]

1. Don't know. But I hope not

They would have to commit to troops on the ground. There would be hell to pay here in the US

[3_Limes]

4. Yeah. It would be ugly.

Very similar to Russia in Afghanistan but with advanced drones that we don't yet have effective defenses for. So, worse.

And the whole new generation of war-hardened and tecu-savy terrorists that would come out of it. They'll be visiting us at intervals for the next few decades, no matter how the war comes out.

What a mess, huh?

[LymphocyteLover]

5. there would be hell to pay but this administration seems strangely immune to public opinion

[LymphocyteLover]

2. Yeah, I've been saying this for a while. Because there is never going to be an acceptable peace deal

for Israel or even US Congress with the current US clowns negotiating

[walkingman]

3. I am already against the next war ☮

If not Iran, somewhere else for sure.....The US military is the biggest public employer in the world. It needs to spread 247 propaganda constantly, so nobody questions its existence or expense. The goal of the DoD used to be to “deter war and to protect the security of our country.” Now, it is “to defend the security of our country and sustain American influence abroad”.

[LymphocyteLover]

6. they keep talking about invading Cuba, which is both insane but would also be a relief in some ways given how much

the people there are suffering under the ongoing embargo

[walkingman]

7. How about we just help our neighbor and stop being a bully? This constant internal and external

war against anyone that we perceive as a threat against our far-right populism (I prefer the word facism) is subject to not only economic suppression but military intervention.

Exhausted of our "exceptionalism" - the older I get, the worse it becomes.

[LymphocyteLover]

9. Seriously!!! This administration is committing a crime against humanity by starving Cuba!!!

Obama tried to normalize relations with Cuba after so long and fucking Shitler shut it down in his first term.

[malaise]

8. Worry more about the shooting war in your backyard

He is desperate on steroids.
That is all

[maxsolomon]

10. By the end of the year?

The negotiating period is only 60 days.

More aerial assaults? Sure. But the Dotard doesn't have the appetite for an actual invasion of a nation of 90 million Muslims, so no way.

[31j20b3]

11. Yes before the end of June or July seems realistic