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BumRushDaShow

(157,314 posts)
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 09:32 AM Jul 23

Virginia Republicans sound alarm over governor's race: 'It's a disaster'

Source: The Hill

07/23/25 5:00 AM ET


Virginia Republicans are raising alarm bells about the state of Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears’s (R) campaign in the state’s closely watched gubernatorial race.

Last week, news broke that Earle-Sears’s campaign manager Will Archer was removed from his post but would remain on her campaign in a different capacity. The development came as polls show Democratic candidate Abigail Spanberger in the lead.

Now, some Republicans are warning that further shake-ups are needed if they want to win in what is seen as the most significant bellwether this year.

“From my vantage point and the people we’re talking to, it’s a disaster,” said one Virginia Republican operative who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5413919-earle-sears-campaign-struggles-continue/



Couldn't pass up that headline.

Keep forgetting that VA has 1-term governors and hadn't heard much about who was running for the (R)s. IIRC, Abigail Spanberger is running for the (D)s and am crossing fingers that VA wakes up and throws the (R) bums out.
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Virginia Republicans sound alarm over governor's race: 'It's a disaster' (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Jul 23 OP
Ahh This Makes me happy! JustAnotherGen Jul 23 #1
Murphy has a corporate banking/investment business background BumRushDaShow Jul 23 #3
You betcha JustAnotherGen Jul 23 #4
Judges are a little different angrychair Jul 23 #14
This will be an easy win for Dems SickOfTheOnePct Jul 23 #2
Abbie's tough to beat. underpants Jul 23 #5
That was a very enjoyable read. Sears is a joke and they knew that. underpants Jul 23 #6
Very serendipitous displacedvermoter Jul 23 #7
Virginia is for lovers. twodogsbarking Jul 23 #8
Sears is double DEI acc to her own party... female and black. Norrrm Jul 23 #9
Female, black, and an immigrant. AverageOldGuy Jul 23 #11
She should have a word with Candace Owens BumRushDaShow Jul 23 #12
what is she trying to prove there Skittles Thursday #19
Here's a lesson from Virginia that we all need to heed AverageOldGuy Jul 23 #10
Electing that piece of shit Dumbkin and his Generalissimo Att. Gen was a bigger disaster wolfie001 Jul 23 #13
I wonder about their stupidity too but..... Skittles Thursday #18
Crazy frustrating wolfie001 Thursday #20
A little something from 2018 alison_in_nc Jul 23 #15
They often manage to fuck things up. Youngkin messed up his own chances to run for president by by throwing in his lot Martin68 Jul 23 #16
Winsome lose some... n/t whopis01 Jul 23 #17

JustAnotherGen

(35,975 posts)
1. Ahh This Makes me happy!
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 09:37 AM
Jul 23

There are three bellweathers this year:

VA Governors Race
NJ Governors Race (some say it's a change election - I'm not so sure about that), as well has Assembly and Senate.
PA - Judges

If we wipe the floor with them in November - then we need to prepare for every single dirty trick the maga pubs could use to steal 2026. Actually - we need to start now.

So happy my Governor (Murphy) and Newsom are bringing a flame thrower to the maga Pub knife fight.

BumRushDaShow

(157,314 posts)
3. Murphy has a corporate banking/investment business background
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 09:48 AM
Jul 23

so he knows the cutthroat tactics.

JustAnotherGen

(35,975 posts)
4. You betcha
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 09:56 AM
Jul 23

And he has a secret weapon - Tammy. I was part of her debate prep team last year. Two of the nicest people in NJ. We've been super lucky to have them the past 8 years.

angrychair

(10,920 posts)
14. Judges are a little different
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 11:50 AM
Jul 23

But it will be interesting to watch what Pennsylvania does because I worry it may be lost to us.

SickOfTheOnePct

(8,196 posts)
2. This will be an easy win for Dems
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 09:47 AM
Jul 23

Youngkin’s election was an anomaly - people were really unhappy with the COVID school closures as well as Terry McAuliffe’s statement about parents having a say in schools.

underpants

(191,721 posts)
5. Abbie's tough to beat.
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 10:03 AM
Jul 23

I’ve met her and she is the real deal. She’ll be on the national ticket pretty soon after she’s been a Governor.

underpants

(191,721 posts)
6. That was a very enjoyable read. Sears is a joke and they knew that.
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 10:07 AM
Jul 23

They had to nominate her. Gee Fredericks (we don’t get his show around here that I know of) isn’t a fan of this ticket. 🤔

The Virginia Dems have repeatedly put Abbie in tight races for a reason. Now she’s running for the whole state. She’s incredibly impressive.

AverageOldGuy

(2,783 posts)
11. Female, black, and an immigrant.
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 11:23 AM
Jul 23

Plus, she has a really awesome rifle. (From her 2021 campaign.)


AverageOldGuy

(2,783 posts)
10. Here's a lesson from Virginia that we all need to heed
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 11:21 AM
Jul 23

It's about TURNOUT. AS IN: GET DEMOCRATIC VOTERS TO THE POLLS.

Background. Virginia elects state and local officials in odd-numbered years -- 2017, 2019, 2021, . . .

With that in mind, let's compare the Virginia 2020 Presidential election (won by Biden) with the 2021 Gubernatorial election, won by Republicans.

2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN VIRGINIA
Biden 2,413,568
Trump 1,962,430
Turnout 81%

2021 GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION IN VIRGINIA
Youngkin 1,663,596 Difference from Trump: -15%
McAuliffe 1,600,116 Difference from Biden: -34%
Turnout 58%

Notice two facts:
-- Fewer voters, both D and R, voted in 2021 than in 2020.
-- TWICE AS MANY DEMOCRATIC VOTERS STAYED HOME AS REPUBLICAN VOTERS.

In 2021, the Republican candidate drew 15% fewer votes than did Trump.
Meanwhile, the Democratic candidate drew 34 % fewer votes than did Biden.
Yes, there were other factors at play but nothing can overcome voters who stay home. In fact, if you run the same data for Virginia elections, you find that in every gubernatorial election year when compared to the preceding Presidential year, the same pattern holds -- more Democrats stay home during the gubernatorial election than voted during the preceding Presidential election.

The morale of this story: GET OUT THE VOTE -- because Republicans vote while we Democrats stay home, voting only in Presidential elections.

wolfie001

(5,759 posts)
13. Electing that piece of shit Dumbkin and his Generalissimo Att. Gen was a bigger disaster
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 11:43 AM
Jul 23

I can't believe so many Virginians are that stupid. Plenty of racists down there, but I didn't think it was quite so many. Embarrassing. I sure as shit hope they've turned a new leaf and stop being pieces of shit like Dumbkin.

Skittles

(166,336 posts)
18. I wonder about their stupidity too but.....
Thu Jul 24, 2025, 06:22 AM
Thursday

I live in Texas so I am very much used to it

Martin68

(26,227 posts)
16. They often manage to fuck things up. Youngkin messed up his own chances to run for president by by throwing in his lot
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 12:21 PM
Jul 23

100% with Trump. He was elected governor by exploiting totally manufactured concern about schools.

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