Tuesday Wisconsin Supreme Court election - trends and turnout numbers to look for
As you will see, in all of these statewide elections, slightly more than half of the state's votes come from the first 6 mostly urban areas, and somewhere between 45-47% votes tend to come from the rest of the state.
You'll see that the outstate votes take up a bit more of a share of the November electorate than it has in the last 3 April elections, and so does the City of Milwaukee, while the higher-turnout areas of Dane County and the WOW Counties combine for 26-28% of the Wisconsin electorate in April, but only have made up 23-24% of the electorate in November.
This may not seem like a big difference to you, but in a state where the last 2 presidential races and the last 2 US Senate races have been decided by 1% or less, any movement of 1-2% could be a deciding factor. For example, if people in these areas voted Dem vs GOP in the same rates that they did in November 2024, but the turnout shares were the same as April 2023, Kamala Harris would have beaten Donald Trump 49.33% to 49.03% in Wisconsin, instead of Trump winning the state 49.60% to 48.74%.
This helps explain why Brad Schimel is allowing Elon Musk and the rest of the GOPs that want to flip the Court to be as bro-ey and as awful as they've acted. They need the votes of low-info and mis-info'd dipshits low-propensity voters that have voted for Trump and Johnson in November elections, but aren't as likely to vote in an April election.
The outstate voting results in Wisconsin are interesting to look at for another reason, as the Dem-supported candidates have done better there in the Wisconsin Supreme Court races (including 2019 loser Lisa Neubauer, who got 45.5% of outstate votes) than the 41-42% numbers that Mandela Barnes and Kamala Harris pulled in the last two November elections. Maybe race factors in here (Crawford is a white woman, like Neubauer, Karofsky and Protasiewicz are, and Harris and Barnes are not white), or maybe it's an April-November thing, but it's an interesting difference.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/3/30/2313460/-Tuesday-Wisconsin-Supreme-Court-election-trends-and-turnout-numbers-to-look-for
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Spread the word! Florida too! 
