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Earth's Future Climate at 9 km Worldwide Resolution
https://www.ibs.re.kr/cop/bbs/BBSMSTR_000000000738/selectBoardArticle.do?nttId=26003&pageIndex=1Earth's Future Climate at 9 km Worldwide Resolution
Global Warming does not affect our planet evenly. Some areas such as the Arctic region or high mountain peaks warm faster than the global average, whereas others, including large parts of the tropical oceans, show reduced temperature trends compared to the mean. The heterogeneity of future rainfall patterns is even more pronounced. To adapt to future climate change, policymakers and stakeholders need detailed regional climate information, often on scales much smaller than the typical resolution (~100-200 km) of climate models used in the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
A team of scientists from the IBS Center for Climate Physics (ICCP), Pusan National University in South Korea and the Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI), Bremerhaven, Germany has achieved an important breakthrough in climate modeling, providing unprecedented insights into Earth's future climate and its variability. Their research was published in the open access journal Earth System Dynamics.
Utilizing the AWI-CM3 earth system model, a novel iterative global modeling protocol, and two of South Korea's fastest supercomputers (Aleph at the Institute for Basic Science and Guru at the Korea Meteorological Administration), the researchers have simulated climate change at scales of 9 km in the atmosphere and 4-25 km in the ocean. These extensive computer model simulations offer a more accurate representation of future climate conditions, enabling better planning for climate adaptation.
Figure 1. A snapshot of simulated climate conditions. Blue/red shading: sea surface temperature deviations from zonal mean; gray/white shading: low clouds; green/pink shading: 10m wind speed; blue/yellow shading in upper panels: hurricane precipitation. The figure illustrates the ubiquity of mesoscale climate phenomena, such as Tropical Instability Waves in the equatorial Atlantic and Pacific, hurricanes (making landfall in Hawaiʻi in this snapshot), ocean cold wakes generated by hurricanes, stratocumulus cloud decks and patchy day-time convection over the Amazon forest.
The AWI-CM3 high-resolution model accurately represents global climate, including small-scale phenomena, such as rainfall in mountainous regions, coastal and island climate processes, hurricanes and ocean turbulence (Fig. 1). By resolving more regional details and their interactions with the large-scale atmosphere and ocean circulations, the model demonstrates a superior performance compared to most lower-resolution climate models.
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Global Warming does not affect our planet evenly. Some areas such as the Arctic region or high mountain peaks warm faster than the global average, whereas others, including large parts of the tropical oceans, show reduced temperature trends compared to the mean. The heterogeneity of future rainfall patterns is even more pronounced. To adapt to future climate change, policymakers and stakeholders need detailed regional climate information, often on scales much smaller than the typical resolution (~100-200 km) of climate models used in the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
A team of scientists from the IBS Center for Climate Physics (ICCP), Pusan National University in South Korea and the Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI), Bremerhaven, Germany has achieved an important breakthrough in climate modeling, providing unprecedented insights into Earth's future climate and its variability. Their research was published in the open access journal Earth System Dynamics.
Utilizing the AWI-CM3 earth system model, a novel iterative global modeling protocol, and two of South Korea's fastest supercomputers (Aleph at the Institute for Basic Science and Guru at the Korea Meteorological Administration), the researchers have simulated climate change at scales of 9 km in the atmosphere and 4-25 km in the ocean. These extensive computer model simulations offer a more accurate representation of future climate conditions, enabling better planning for climate adaptation.
Figure 1. A snapshot of simulated climate conditions. Blue/red shading: sea surface temperature deviations from zonal mean; gray/white shading: low clouds; green/pink shading: 10m wind speed; blue/yellow shading in upper panels: hurricane precipitation. The figure illustrates the ubiquity of mesoscale climate phenomena, such as Tropical Instability Waves in the equatorial Atlantic and Pacific, hurricanes (making landfall in Hawaiʻi in this snapshot), ocean cold wakes generated by hurricanes, stratocumulus cloud decks and patchy day-time convection over the Amazon forest.
The AWI-CM3 high-resolution model accurately represents global climate, including small-scale phenomena, such as rainfall in mountainous regions, coastal and island climate processes, hurricanes and ocean turbulence (Fig. 1). By resolving more regional details and their interactions with the large-scale atmosphere and ocean circulations, the model demonstrates a superior performance compared to most lower-resolution climate models.
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The data from the study can be downloaded here, and can be applied to Google Earth: https://climatedata.ibs.re.kr/data/papers/moon-et-al-2024-earth-system-dynamics
Moon, J.-Y., Streffing, J., Lee, S.-S., Semmler, T., Andrés-Martínez, M., Chen, J., Cho, E.-B., Chu, J.-E., Franzke, C. L. E., Gärtner, J. P., Ghosh, R., Hegewald, J., Hong, S., Kim, D.-W., Koldunov, N., Lee, J.-Y., Lin, Z., Liu, C., Loza, S. N., Park, W., Roh, W., Sein, D. V., Sharma, S., Sidorenko, D., Son, J.-H., Stuecker, M. F., Wang, Q., Yi, G., Zapponini, M., Jung, T., and Timmermann, A.: Earth's future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution, Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1103–1134, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1103-2025, 2025.