Thursday Melissa advisories and more

[nitpicked]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/300851.shtml

Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
500 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA AS MELISSA IS EXPECTED
TO APPROACH THE ISLAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS TO INVESTIGATE MELISSA THIS
MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 73.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM NE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
ABOUT 685 MI...1105 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Hurricane Warning
for the central and southeastern Bahamas. The Tropical Storm Warning
has been discontinued for the Turks and Caicos Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda
(snip)

[nitpicked]

1. and the discussion

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/300852.shtml?

Melissa appears slightly better organized this morning. Overnight
GMI passive microwave images showed a closed mid-level eyewall, and
there have been hints of a ragged eye feature in recent conventional
satellite images with deep convection surrounding the center. Based
on these developments, the initial intensity is raised to 90 kt for
this advisory, which is supported by a 5.0/90 kt Dvorak
classification from SAB. A comparison of the 89 and 37 GHz GMI
images indicates the vortex is tilted toward the northeast with
height, likely the result of southwesterly shear over the hurricane.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the hurricane this morning.

Melissa is moving quickly northeastward (030/18 kt) away from the
Bahamas. An even faster northeastward motion is expected during the
next couple of days as Melissa moves within the flow between a
mid-level trough over the southeastern U.S. and a subtropical ridge
over the central Atlantic. The tightly clustered track guidance
shows the center of Melissa passing to the northwest of Bermuda
tonight, and a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the island.
Then, Melissa should pass near the southeastern tip of Newfoundland
as a strong extratropical cyclone on Friday night before moving
across the North Atlantic this weekend. No notable changes were
made to the NHC track forecast with this update.

Slight additional strengthening is possible today while Melissa
remains over warm waters in a diffluent upper-level environment.
However, the shear is forecast to become prohibitively strong later
tonight and Friday, and Melissa will reach much cooler waters during
the next 24-48 h. As a result, Melissa is expected to quickly lose
tropical characteristics once it passes Bermuda, and it is forecast
to become a strong post-tropical cyclone over the North Atlantic by
Friday night or early Saturday. The latest NHC intensity forecast
remains on the high end of the guidance envelope, and more closely
follows the global models during the extratropical phase later in
the forecast period.


Key Messages:

1. Bermuda: Hurricane conditions are expected in Bermuda tonight,
with tropical storm conditions beginning later today. Preparations
should be rushed to completion.

2. Post-storm safety: Follow advice of local officials as you may
need to remain sheltered after the storm due to downed power lines
and flooding. Any flooding across the Bahamas is expected to subside
today. Flooding across Cuba, Jamaica, and Hispaniola could persist
for another few days. Ensure generators are properly ventilated and
placed outside at least 20 feet away from dwellings and garages to
avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. During clean up, be careful when
using chainsaws and power tools. Drink plenty of water to avoid heat
exhaustion.
(snip)

[nitpicked]

2. 8 am update

Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 36A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

...MELISSA WILL BE APPROACHING BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.8N 72.7W
ABOUT 605 MI...980 KM SW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM NE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

[nitpicked]

3. 11 am update

Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

...MELISSA WILL BE APPROACHING BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 71.7W
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

[nitpicked]

4. 2 pm update

Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 37A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

...CONDITIONS IN BERMUDA WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 70.9W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.