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lapfog_1

(31,692 posts)
2. I don't know what source material the AI lifted this from, but it is very apt
Sat Jan 10, 2026, 05:02 PM
Saturday

3. Mythic Historical Analogies Are Doing Heavy Lifting. Your invocation of the Battle of Adrianople is actually very apt—because that is exactly the kind of analogy being implicitly (and sometimes explicitly) invoked. However, these analogies are Historically illiterate, Psychologically powerful, Politically useful. Late Roman collapse narratives are flattened into a crude model: Weak borders → barbarian influx → state collapse. What gets ignored: Rome’s fiscal exhaustion, Internal elite conflict, Overreliance on mercenaries, Administrative fragmentation, Long time horizons (centuries, not years). But the myth persists because it converts complex decline into a single moral failure: “we didn’t enforce the border.”

However, ChatGPT missed one bit of truth. History accelerated in the last 1000 years... actually in the last 100 years. the "Long Time horizons are now mere decades if not shorter, imho.

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