I'll be watching closely to see how the SS/FBI handle the case and if there's an obvious attempt at secrecy. If the dude gets Ruby'd or they screw up the case badly somehow and the guy walks, then I'm hella suspicious. If it turns out he recently took to talking to Grok about every decision in life, I'll also be suspicious.
Thing is though I could see someone deciding to do this, for these stated reasons. *I* of course would never, but IQ47 is pushing people to the brink. I think he might well want this exact kind of thing happening, and he may be getting it because that's the vibe he puts out. He WANTS to be despised by liberals (this makes his fans love him more). But solely because every influencer knew to jump on the ballroom bandwagon that doesn't assure us they were JUST informed to do that. That could've been a standing order, because Trump knows eventually something like this will happen. Maybe everyone has been ready for months for this spin offensive, if anything remotely like an attack on the POTUS happens, in any US venue. I mean it's not that far-fetched to consider is all I'm saying.
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So I'm personally not yet ready to rule out things being legit, but I'm sure we'll all be watching closely in the upcoming days and months for illustrative signs.
I don't think we know enough yet to lean heavily into either side of this whole "staged" concept 
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