Reasons I'm optimistic (and reasons I'm not)

[EnergizedLib]

Optimistic:

- The party out of power virtually always picks up seats during midterms, and trump doesn't have Dubya numbers of popularity after 9/11. When it comes to inflation, economics and gas prices, people are not enamored with the job the felon is doing.

- An unpopular war, an unpopular ballroom being taxpayer funded, higher gas prices, job losses, tariffs, businesses suffering, our debt being higher than our GDP.

- While our party might poll in the red, some of that is from disgruntled Democrats who want our leaders to fight harder.

- States like Texas and Florida may have dummymandered (and Florida may have violated its State Constitution).

- Key 2024 voting blocs like Gen Z. and Latinos are not happy with the felon. At all.

- We've won or overperformed in a lot of state and local elections since 2024, flipping dozens of seats.

- We're fighting back against their gerrymandering nonsense.

Reasons I'm not optimistic:

- Voter intimidation (ICE-Is at polls? Louise Lucas being raided. What other shenanigans will they try to pull? You know they will.)

- The illegitimate SCOTUS giving us Callais and allowing Louisiana to declare an emergency to gerrymander, emboldening other states to take suit, which makes me think we might not win even if we get more votes.

- While independents have really soured on the felon and Democrats are extremely motivated to vote, the cult spoke very loud last night in Indiana they are a cult and they want all trump, all the time, that the Republican Party of Lincoln, Roosevelt and Eisenhower is long gone, and it doesn't matter how in the pits this country is or even their personal situation is, this is what they want.

- FOX Entertainment propaganda and the notion that no matter how bad it gets under Republicans, some are convinced Democrats are somehow worse.

- Other people on the red team may have been spooked by Indiana and will try to redraw.