General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Hilary Clinton has stated that Biden is to blame for the election of Trump and that his legacy will never recover. [View all]karynnj
(61,235 posts)As the article notes, there were many issues where the Democrats were not seen as winning. It is not possible to know what would have happened if a different path were taken.
She ignores that since before she ran, the polling on whether the country is going in the right direction has been terrible. Could this be an underlying reason for her loss, Trump's loss and Harris's loss?
Imagine like she suggested Biden said he would concentrate on being President, but not run for reelection. The big question then is whether he endorses Harris. On one hand, it would almost be a slap in the face if he didn't, but on the other that might not seem wide open.
Harris herself makes an issue of having a very short time line, but she actually had a few weeks that were incredible as everyone endorsed her. She polled best then. In a regular year, many candidates don't clinch the nomination until June and many start out less defined and well known than Harris.
So, was there some candidate that could enter a primary campaign starting feeling it out when Biden announced which is later than usual, develop their stump speech make themselves known and beat Harris for the nomination?
Then consider that some issues would be very sensitive if the candidate wanted to differentiate themselves from the President. Israel was a problem for us, but not that much for the Republicans. Biden tried publicly to get Netanyahu to stop the destruction, but it was not in Netanyahu 's interest to do do. Many Democrats would have preferred a less pro Israel position, but politically moving in that direction could have lost more votes in the center than were lost on the left.
You could just as easily conjure a future where Biden stays in and, just as Reagan recovered from a poor first debate, Biden did. It is true that when she first was running, Harris polled better than Biden did before the debate. You could blame Biden and his team for not postponing the debate as he was sick. The hit from having the flu or whatever it was couldn't have been worse than the debate.
Note that had Biden have run and won, Harris would now be President.