European troops arrive in Greenland to boost the Arctic island's security

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15. No

I think it will be a frog in the boil pot, but over months, not years now. I think Europe will have troubles with Putin before Trump goes all in on Greenland, and once Europe is otherwise occupied Trump will move in on Greenland, further, to ostensibly secure it as a buffer to European troubles he helped create.

I don't think Trump cares if half of NATO bases there, for the time being, because he believes they will mostly be leaving soon. Putin takes things in bites, anyway, not chunks. He'll take one or two states or regions and consolidate, pause, take a vacation, and then repeat in 5 years (if he's even alive) as he has done before. Someone else is eyeing his job already, I'm sure...

Putin just needs to play dirty - all those things he hasn't done, where we say "If he blows up Chernobyl, it's war." or "If he gasses the city of ***, it would be war." is sort of the point... He doesn't need a standard war, just an incident to lead to a war stance. Cut off natural gas, cyber attacks, COVID,... don't think so Blitzkrieg. He knows Europe wants peace, so he has carrots, too.

Republicans will support it all if they feel they have no other way out that is acceptable to them, not us. Admitting they were wrong about... well, everything... that they perpetuated it, and that some may possibly be going to prison or losing their wealth and influence... probably isn't something they feel is a better alternative to other people's kids fighting somewhere else, IMHO.