Bad Polling Won't Stop Trump's Authoritarian Project [View all]
Andrew Wilson
Throughout Donald Trumps second term, we have seen bad poll after bad poll. His favorability among moderate and independent voters has collapsed. Hispanic voters, disturbed by Trumps deportation campaign and a faltering economy, have done a complete 180. Even Republicansespecially within the core MAGA constituencyare starting to show cracks.
All of that is disastrous for Trump and for Republicans. But bad numbers alone will not miraculously stop us from careening toward the black hole that is Trump 2028. Polling doesnt tell whether we win or lose elections. It measures public mood as best it cana game of telephone where voters tell pollsters, pollsters tell us, and meaning is often distorted along the way.
Voters are angry about prices. Trump, in his dotage, cannot change his mind. Inflation driven by tariffs is here to stay, regardless of what the Supreme Court does. High prices in cities are nothing new, but Trumps tariffs have nationalized the problem, dragging it into the smallest corner of rural America. This is Trumps economy now. He owns it and voters know it.
To their credit, Democrats are largely nailing the affordability argument. But a trust gap still lingers after the Joe Biden presidency. Thats why the combination of affordability and Epstein matters. It isnt just scandal-mongering; its a narrative thats been missing. Trump promised the moon but delivered only oozing corruption and incompetence. Democrats finally have an opportunity to repair a badly damaged brand by making the contrast unavoidable.
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