AR-HD70: Why Democrats might flip a seat in an Arkansas special election [View all]
Democrats in Arkansas have a chance to flip a swingy GOP-held seat in the state House in a special election on Tuesday, while an independent is campaigning against a Republican for a conservative district in the state Senate. Democrats in Massachusetts, by contrast, are favored to hold a Democratic-leaning state Senate district.
The contest for Arkansas’ 70th House District outside of Little Rock pits Democrat Alex Holladay, a healthcare administrator who came close to winning here in 2024, against Republican Bo Renshaw, a local businessman and physical therapist.
While Arkansas is one of the most conservative states in the country, the 70th is anything but a GOP stronghold. Kamala Harris, according to calculations by The Downballot, carried this constituency 50-48 in 2024 even as Republican state Rep. Carlton Wing was narrowly fending off Holladay 51-49.
This district, which includes part of the city of North Little Rock and a few neighboring areas, also swung left at a time when Arkansas and the nation as a whole were moving to the right: Donald Trump in 2020 prevailed 51-47, according to data uploaded to Dave’s Redistricting App by the Voting and Election Science Team.
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-ca7
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