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GreatGazoo

(4,105 posts)

15. No. The big drops come from unexpected events

Reply to Watchfoxheadexplodes (Original post)

Mon Mar 31, 2025, 04:31 PM

Mar 31

This one is fully expected, delayed, expected again, hedged, laddered, algo'd, etc.

My guess is Trump kicks it out 30 days again or softens or both and a relief rally turns into a short squeeze. But I'm not betting on it.

Regardless I like defensive stocks this year no matter what happens on Wednesday -- VZ, GLD, MO, PAA, QYLD, ABBV

GLD ripping on the USD devaluation / uncertainty. https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/gld

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Will the stock market go level 3 Wednesday? [View all] Watchfoxheadexplodes Mar 31 OP

All I know is, I was much better off on Jan 19th Emile Mar 31 #1

Im down 20% due to tariff talk and indecision. OLDMDDEM Mar 31 #17

Might be a big drop, but not that big.... Happy Hoosier Mar 31 #2

When I heard he was making it in Rose garden Watchfoxheadexplodes Mar 31 #3

It'll be a bad day, but sentiment is already in the crapper....NT Happy Hoosier Mar 31 #4

Sentiment is very mixed but investors might still be net positive Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #13

I hadn't heard that. Thx. Any indication of scheduled time of day? Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #10

I think we're yet to see the worse of these moron's unfettered tampering w/the Economy. For some reason, he seems to SWBTATTReg Mar 31 #5

Economic choices are a great example of mass action. Also some hearsay tRump wants to drive dollar down Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #8

I don't have a crystal ball, but.... Happy Hoosier Mar 31 #19

Personally, I think what you're doing is smart. Let the chips fall, let the fallout hit, and then, just maybe, there SWBTATTReg Apr 1 #29

One might think so, but the market seems to like emulating ostriches Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #6

I Guess No ProfessorGAC Mar 31 #7

Seems to have been goosed up about 2pm EDT today, perhaps some news crossed the wires? Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #9

Could Be ProfessorGAC Mar 31 #20

I agree with all your points. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #21

2ET is a common bullish pivot point... today, institutions poured in to buy. WarGamer Mar 31 #24

No. onenote Mar 31 #11

That's up to the big money people Nigrum Cattus Mar 31 #12

Arent the tariffs baked in at this point? Johonny Mar 31 #14

I think the uncertainty is baked in & Apr 2 will not dispell all of it, but downside risks not baked in Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #16

I was worried that my financial consultant Johonny Mar 31 #22

Maybe Diraven Mar 31 #26

No. The big drops come from unexpected events GreatGazoo Mar 31 #15

True, but I think markets are uncertain & a bit complacent, not realizing how much things have changed Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #18

A former floor trader said he thinks algos are behind the GreatGazoo Mar 31 #23

Good post Bernardo de La Paz Mar 31 #25

I over simplified GreatGazoo Apr 1 #28

Doubt it. it is not a surprising event. JohnSJ Mar 31 #27