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applegrove

(125,691 posts) Tue Apr 1, 2025, 11:54 AM Apr 1

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Wisconsin Republicans Have a Turnout Problem [View all]

Wisconsin Republicans Have a Turnout Problem

April 1, 2025 at 6:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 71 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2025/04/01/wisconsin-republicans-have-a-turnout-problem/

"SNIP..........

Split Ticket: “Although we will not be releasing a model for this race, the early vote data we have extensively analyzed and modeled suggests Democratic-aligned liberal judge Susan Crawford is a clear favorite to win this election.”

“While the GOP-aligned conservative Brad Schimel certainly could pull off an upset (and it would be foolish to rule him out this early), the early vote suggests that this would be a monumental feat for him, and he is staring down the barrel of an immense deficit that he is unlikely to overturn on election day.”

“The early vote data shows that even relative to 2024, Democrats are significantly more likely to show up than Republicans are — and in a state that Donald Trump won by less than a percentage point in 2024, this makes the GOP’s job much harder.”

............SNIP"

46 replies

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Highlight:

Wisconsin Republicans Have a Turnout Problem [View all] applegrove Apr 1 OP

Hey Musk, the prophecy said, Money can't buy you love!" GreenWave Apr 1 #1

..it profiteth a man naught if he shall.. thomski64 Apr 1 #3

Sheer profundity! GreenWave Apr 1 #7

Right stick that million up his ass Tribetime Apr 1 #22

I hate the timing of this. No one in WI should take this as an excuse not to vote karynnj Apr 1 #2

Too often it's too many Democrats who get complacent & overconfident about elections. elocs Apr 1 #12

If we recover our democracy, maybe America will be better MadameButterfly Apr 1 #38

Yes bdamomma Apr 1 #43

The turnout problem can be adjusted gab13by13 Apr 1 #4

"Adjusted".. wimk, wink, nudge, nudge. Permanut Apr 1 #26

Thats my worry MadameButterfly Apr 1 #39

Conspiracy theories are mostly self-soothing mechanisms Maru Kitteh Apr 1 #44

I hope that these projections are correct LetMyPeopleVote Apr 1 #5

Not if starlink is connected to systems, jus sayin uponit7771 Apr 1 #6

But they weren't and aren't/nt Abnredleg Apr 1 #8

According to this they were the reason vote counting went so quickly in 2024 tintinvotes Apr 1 #30

It was used for registration Abnredleg Apr 1 #33

Cab you post a link from a credible source? tintinvotes Apr 1 #36

Here you go Abnredleg Apr 1 #37

I still don't like Starlink or Elon anywhere near our voting system MadameButterfly Apr 1 #40

I'm not disagreeing with you/nt Abnredleg Apr 1 #42

Exactly! Here comes the russian algorithm! BComplex Apr 1 #23

Republicans have had a turnout problem in a lot of offcycle elections. Self Esteem Apr 1 #9

There is much to think about in this post. I have noticed this trend but not Maru Kitteh Apr 1 #16

Yes, it will mean much. Because we won't have another "major" election for almost four years from now. W_HAMILTON Apr 1 #17

Mostly these special elections are great for morale... WarGamer Apr 1 #19

Not disagreeing but... Hieronymus Phact Apr 1 #24

Democrats historically were the party of low-propensity voters. Self Esteem Apr 1 #35

Romney got caught on tape saying this: MadameButterfly Apr 1 #41

Yes and it's made winning big turnout nationwide elections tough for Democrats. Self Esteem Apr 2 #45

i hope we don't have to wait that long MadameButterfly Apr 3 #46

Oy vey Prairie Gates Apr 1 #10

They may have underestimated how much people hate Eloon. milestogo Apr 1 #11

fingers crossed AltairIV Apr 1 #13

Don't jinx this. Emile Apr 1 #14

Encouraging! peggysue2 Apr 1 #15

Can't we just wait a few hours? WarGamer Apr 1 #18

It's kismet MaineNative Apr 1 #20

Oh no! Think of the poor little Musks! dchill Apr 1 #21

Be very cautiously optimistic. VERY cautiously DFW Apr 1 #25

Many power outages due to an ice storm. WiVoter Apr 1 #27

From this page to Gods ear JMCKUSICK Apr 1 #28

Musk will use his Starlink to tamper with the ballots Owens Apr 1 #29

My suspicion as well. n/t returnee Apr 1 #34

Good!! Demovictory9 Apr 1 #31

I am wary of reports about low GQP turnout etc. moniss Apr 1 #32