General Discussion

pat_k

(13,801 posts)

33. I hadn't actually seen people sayiing that.

Tue May 5, 2026, 01:42 PM

Yesterday

Between 2015 and the last quarter of 2024, the trend was up and down so anyone saying it was consistently down wasn't looking at numbers.

The consistent downward trend took off after Q4 2024. Since then it has been a steady downward trend for six quarters. At no point prior to that since 2016 has the trend been the same direction for that many quarters. I find that significant.

Sure, maybe we shouldn't get too excited until the gap between D+D leaning I's and R+R leaning I's hits 15 points (that is, a bigger gap than any time since 1991), but I see the current trend as quite significant -- and a good sign. And while the current D+D leaning I's isn't as high as in 2008, I also find it significant that the number of R+R leaning I's is at the same low level of 39% -- lowest since 1991 at least.

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byronius

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Highlight:

CNN Data Guru Warns Trump Support Crashing: 'Absolute Collapse' [View all] Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Monday OP

It should be 99% disapproval as the 1 % are the only people he's helping now ! kimbutgar Monday #1

Well keep us posted on your BIL since that is the metric that will apparently determine the mid terms. BannonsLiver Yesterday #15

Agree. I like the use of "neurolinguistically programmed" to describe his BIL erronis Yesterday #34

Republicans don't care. J_William_Ryan Monday #2

I don't think pollsters are keeping up with the exodus from the Republican Party pat_k Monday #3

a shrinking number Cirsium Yesterday #12

I think that pollsters may also be assuming... pat_k Yesterday #20

Would I be the only person who thinks some pollsters (including Gallup) have some agendas? erronis Yesterday #35

Perhaps ITAL Yesterday #31

I hadn't actually seen people sayiing that. pat_k Yesterday #33

I had ITAL Yesterday #37

Maybe, but... OhioTim 15 hrs ago #55

well that will be good for us in November Skittles Monday #6

We'll see how many stupid people Tree Lady Monday #7

So are you expecting a rough mid term for Democrats? BannonsLiver Yesterday #14

It's so much easier for non-thinkers to pull the same levers, time after time. Especially if hubby does so also. erronis Yesterday #36

Just wait for the gladiator fights at the WH on his birthday. That should turn things around for him. Midnight Writer Monday #4

True, that shit will actually work on the fucking booger-eating MAGAt morons. FoxNewsSucks Monday #8

Who gives a fuck what they think. BannonsLiver Yesterday #27

Yes he'll gain a bazillion new voters and win the mid terms and 14 future terms in the WH. BannonsLiver Yesterday #17

At least the Romans got BREAD and circuses. Ray Bruns Yesterday #18

Those gas prices and hunger Keepthesoulalive Yesterday #40

they finally noticed the emperor is wearing no clothes Skittles Monday #5

Gee, if only someboday warned Americans what was going to happen....... AZ8theist Monday #9

Boy who cries WOLF! WOLF! WOLF! endlessly. usonian Yesterday #10

Maybe he'll just fucking die already Orrex Yesterday #11

It happens Akakoji Yesterday #19

Not nearly enough. travelingthrulife Yesterday #13

Better late than never, I guess. leftyladyfrommo Yesterday #16

But 80% approval from Republicans....shrug n/t hibbing Yesterday #21

That number used to be in the 90s. BannonsLiver Yesterday #26

$5 dollar gas will kinda do that. paleotn Yesterday #22

We will look back fondly on the days of 5$ gasoline Mysterian Yesterday #24

It's mind-boggling that anyone can support a pure cretin to be their leader Mysterian Yesterday #23

So, why then, are the Republicans in Congress voting in a one billion dollar proviso for his ballroom? Baitball Blogger Yesterday #25

Spare me relogic Yesterday #28

No cheering until after the midterms. Jirel Yesterday #29

Well, As He Knows, He Can Resign at Any Time MineralMan Yesterday #30

a wandering projectile could do wonders dave99 Yesterday #38

"Sounding the alarm"? GenThePerservering Yesterday #32

If gas prices maintain its present direction going into Memorial Day Torchlight Yesterday #39

That's not an absolute crash. That's just a slight dip. Kablooie Yesterday #41

Fuck I had no idea Trumps approval rating is up to 90 percent. BannonsLiver Yesterday #43

Actually, 80% of Republicans still approve of him. Kablooie 22 hrs ago #47

It's budged significantly from when it was over 90 a year ago. BannonsLiver 22 hrs ago #49

Unfortunately I doubt many of those voters have really learned not to repeat themselves and make the same mistake. cstanleytech Yesterday #42

So the GOP is in for a successful mid term in your view? BannonsLiver Yesterday #44

I'm simply saying that that independents rarely really learn not to trust Republicans. cstanleytech Yesterday #45

Trump's at 25 percent with independents. BannonsLiver Yesterday #46

Yep. They've learned from Trump. Kablooie 22 hrs ago #48

The special elections are telling a different story Kaleva 12 hrs ago #56

I'm speaking of the long term and in the long term independent voters are a rather fickle bunch. cstanleytech 11 hrs ago #57

That's what makes them Independents Kaleva 11 hrs ago #58

And I makes them easy to flip and thus not reliable enough for me to trust them to not vote for a Republican. cstanleytech 10 hrs ago #59

It's always about the economy. BlueTsunami2018 22 hrs ago #50

Sadly, I don't think Indiana is getting the memo EnergizedLib 21 hrs ago #51

So in NC....... Red Mountain 19 hrs ago #52

You mean the people who've had their faces eaten by leopards are "waking up"? sakabatou 19 hrs ago #53

Dump doesn't give a shit mdbl 19 hrs ago #54